Indonesian Election

CRS Report for Congress
Indonesian Elections
Bruce Vaughn
Analyst in Southeast and South Asian Affairs
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Summary
On April 5, 2004, Indonesia successfully completed the first step of a multi-phase
election process for 2004. The first phase elected the national legislature and the new
regional representative council. The second phase, held on July 5, 2004, sought to elect
a President. This led to a run-off election on September 20, 2004, between Susilo
Bambang Yudhoyono, the current president, and Megawati Sukarnoputri, the former
president of Indonesia. The 2004 elections were judged to be free and fair. This bodes
well for evolution of democracy in Indonesia. Nationalist and secular parties were the
most popular with voters. The Islamist parties’ limited appeal can be attributed more
to their anti-corruption and good governance policies than to an overtly Islamist agenda.
This report will not be updated.
April Parliamentary Elections
The Indonesian General Election Commission (KPU) registered 147 million
Indonesians to take part in the April 5, 2004 poll in which 7,800 candidates from 24
political parties ran for 550 seats in the national legislature (DPRD).1 One hundred and
twenty eight individuals were also elected to the new Regional Representative Council
(DPD). Analysis of the election attributed the decline in support for former President
Megawati’s Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), as compared with the 1999
parliamentary elections, to the lack of economic growth, Megawati’s governing style, and2
continuing government corruption. The vote was generally peaceful with the exception
of limited fighting between Free Aceh Movement (GAM) forces and the Indonesian3
National Defense Forces in the region of Nanggoroe, Aceh Darussalam. (See table below
for election results.)


1 Shoeb Kagda, “Indonesians Cast Votes,” The Business Times, April 6, 2004.
2 “Megawati’s Bid for New Mandate in Doubt as Indonesians Vote for Change,” Agence France
Presse, April 11, 2004.
3 “Indonesia’s Police Chief Says Clashes in Aceh No Disruption to Polling,” BBC Monitoring,
April 6, 2004.
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress

April Election Results
PartyVote % 2004Seats% 1999
Golkar (Wiranto)21.612822.5
PDI-P Indonesian18.510933.7
Democratic Party of
Struggle (President
Megawati)
PKB National Awakening10.575212.7
Party (former President
Wahid)
PPP United Development8.155810.7
Party (Vice President
Hamzah Haz)
PD Democratic Party7.4557Did not run
(Former Security Minister
Susilo Bambang
Yudhoyono)
PAN National Mandate6.44527.2
Party (Speaker Amien Rais)
PKS Prosperous Justice7.34451.0
Party (Islamic based)
The biggest surprise in the April 2004 election was the performance of the Democrat
Party of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono. Yudhoyono was President Megawati’s Security
Minister until he quit the cabinet in the lead-up to the April elections. Early analysis
attributed the party’s better-than-expected performance to the popularity of Yudhoyono.
While the Democratic Party’s percentage of the vote was significantly less than both the
PDI-P’s and Golkar’s share, in the parliamentary elections individual personalities of the
leaders played a more influential role in the presidential vote in July.4 It has been reported
that 58% of voters claimed no party affiliation prior to the April poll.5
The 2004 parliamentary election proceeded in a generally free and fair manner. They
follow the 1999 election which was the first open election since 1955. Golkar remained
a potent political force after the 1999 election. It did not suffer the significant loss of
public support experienced by PDI-P in the 2004 parliamentary election. Seats formerly
reserved for the military were eliminated prior to the 2004 elections. Islamist parties
seeking to institute Sharia law and have Indonesia officially become an Islamic state exist


4 “Indonesian Presidential Favorite Surges in New Poll,” Reuters News, 22 April, 2004.
5 “Count Down to 2004,” United States - Indonesia Society, January 9, 2004.

but they have a relatively small following.6 The Justice Party is thought to have done well
by downplaying its Islamic agenda and instead focusing on good governance issues.7 The
moderate Islamic parties drew their support to a large extent, though not exclusively, from
the moderate Islamic organizations Muhammardiyah and Nahdlatul Ulama. These two
groups have extensive educational networks and approximately 60 million followers
between them.8
Presidential Election
The first presidential election of 2004 was held on July 5, 2004. Its outcome led to
a second runoff election in September. Only parties that won 5% of the national vote, or
won 3% of parliamentary seats were allowed to contest the July 5 presidential election.
No single candidate won an outright first round victory in July 2004, which required a
majority of the vote with the additional requirement of 20% of the vote being distributed
among at least half of the provinces.9 In the first round of the presidential election the
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono-Jusuf Kalla ticket won 33.57% of the vote with the
Megawati Sukarnoputri-Hasyim Muzadi ticket coming second with 26.6% of the vote.10
This led to a run-off election between the two most popular candidates, Yudhoyono and
Megawati, on September 20, 2004.11 In the second round, Yudhoyono won with 60.62%
of the vote as compared to Megawati’s 39.38%.12 This was the first election where
Indonesians had the opportunity to directly vote for the President. Some observers noted
a focus on individual candidates and parties to a greater extent than on issues and
accountability of politicians by the Indonesian public in 2004. Indonesians rated
unemployment, poverty, and high prices as they key issues for the elections of 2004. They
also viewed Yudhoyono and Kalla as best suited to deal with these problems.13
Yudhoyono has been called the “thinking general.”14 Born in 1949 in East Java, he
graduated from Indonesia’s military academy in 1973 and retired from the military as a
four-star general in 2000 to join the government of Abdurrahman Wahid as Minister for
Mines and later Chief Minister for Security and Political Affairs. He also served in
President Megawati’s government.15


6 “Historic Elections in Indonesia,” U.S.-Indonesia Society, April 19, 2004.
7 Devi Asmarani, “PKS Wins Votes by Downplaying Islamic Agenda,” The Straits Times, April

12, 2004.


8 Merle Ricklefs, “The Future of Indonesia,” History Today, December 1, 2003.
9 Andrew Ellis, “Indonesia’s New General Election Law,” United States - Indonesia Society, July

16, 2003.


10 Greg Fealy, “The 2004 Presidential Elections,” US Indonesia Society.
11 John McBeth and Tom McCawley, “Bleak Prospects Ahead for the Front Runner,” Far Eastern
Economic Review, October 2, 2003.
12 “SBY Declared President Elect,”Antara Morning News Digest, October 5, 2004.
13 “New Poll Favors Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono,” U.S.-Indonesia Society, June 15, 2004.
14 Rachael Harvey, “Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono,” BBC News, May 18, 2004.
15 Tomi Soetjipto, “Indonesia Parties Manoeuver as Vote Count Drags on,” Reuters, April 12,
(continued...)

One surprise in the lead-up to the presidential elections was the selection of former
General Wiranto to be the Golkar party presidential nominee. Wiranto defeated Golkar
Chairman, and Speaker of the Parliament, Akbar Tandjung in a 315 to 227 vote of Golkar
party delegates. Wiranto was indicted in February 2003 by United Nations prosecutors for
his alleged role in crimes against humanity in East Timor in 1999. The lodging of the
arrest warrant with interpol meant that Wiranto could be arrested if he leaves the
country.16 Bilateral relations with the United States would have been greatly complicated
if Wiranto had become President given the history of Congressional concern over human
rights abuses in East Timor. That said, former U.S. Ambassador to Indonesia Ralph Boyce
issued a statement that “we can work with anybody that comes out of a free [election]
process.”17 In 2000, then-President Wahid removed Wiranto from the cabinet after
Indonesia’s National Human Rights Commission held him responsible for the violence
that was associated with the East Timor referendum.18
A positive aspect of the post-Suharto period of reform has been the expansion of the
political party system. The opening of Indonesia’s democracy in the reformasi period
witnessed the emergence of a plethora of political parties. The number has decreased from
48 in 1999 to 24 in 2004. The National Awakening Party (PKB), was established in 1998
by NU which is believed to have a membership of some 30 million
“traditionalist”members -meaning pluralist and tolerant Muslims in the Indonesian
context.19 NU rejects the goal of establishing an Islamic state under Sharia law and is open
to non-Muslim members. 20 National Mandate Party’s (PAN) support base in 2004 was
drawn from the “modernist” Islamic organization Muhammadiyah.21
Indonesia has continued to make progress on government reform and the expansion
of democracy. Most recently in early 2005 President Yudhoyono’s government moved to
get the military out of business. Parliament passed legislation in 2003 to impose
transparent accounting standards for government and to establish an independent
commission to prosecute corruption.22 One can also point to the functioning of the
General Elections Commission in the lead up to the 2004 elections as a positive


15 (...continued)

2004.


16 “Arrest Warrent for Jakarta General,” BBC News, May 10, 2004.
17 “U.S. Can Work with a Future President Wiranto,” Agence France Presse, 22 April, 2004.
18 Harvey Demaine, “Indonesia: Physical and Social Geography,” in The Far East and
Australaisa, (Surrey: Europa Publications, 2002), p. 502.
19 Robert Hefner, “Islam and the State in the Post-Suharto Era,” in Adam Schwartz and Jonathan
Paris, The Politics of Post-Suharto Indonesia, (New York: The Council on Foreign Relations,

1999).


20 “Indonesia Backgrounder: A Guide to the 2004 Elections,” International Crisis Group,
December, 2003.
21 “Campaign Nuggets,” U.S. - Indonesia Society, June 15, 2004.
22 John McBeth, “The Betrayal of Indonesia,” Far Eastern Economic Review, June 26, 2003.

democratic development that helps reinforce civil society in Indonesia.23 A vigorous and
open media is another continuing success of the developing civil society in Indonesia. The
process of decentralization currently underway also holds the prospect of greater say for
average Indonesians in the affairs of their daily lives.24
Political Developments
The successful series of elections of 2004 did much to consolidate the democratic
process in Indonesia. They also more firmly established the dominance of secular-
nationalist parties. Golkar remains the largest political party despite its association with
the now discredited regime of former President Suharto. Vice President Jusuf Kalla is
leader of Golkar and there is speculation about rivalry between Kalla and Yudhoyono.25
Megawati’s PDI-P remains the second largest party though reduced in stature after
Megawati’s defeat by Yudhoyono in 2004. The Democratic Party of President Yudhoyono
was a relative newcomer in 2004 as it did not contest elections in 1999. It is thought to
have done well because it offered an alternative to Golkar and PDI-P which formed the
established political elite. Despite the predominance of the secular-nationalist parties
there are parties with a more Islamic orientation including the Prosperous Justice Party
(PKS), the National Mandate Party (PAN), the National Awakening Party (PKB), and the
United Development Party (PPP).26 There is some concern that the political parties lack
maturity as demonstrated by allegations of bribery and vote buying at some party
congresses.27


23 Christine Tjhin, “Civil Society After Akbar’s Acquittal,” The Jakarta Post, February 17, 2004.
24 Tim Meisburger, ed. Democracy in Indonesia: A Survey of the Indonesian Electorate in 2003
(Jakarta: The Asia Foundation, 2003), p.55.
25 “Susilo-Kalla Rivalry May Hamper Road to Effective Governance,” The Jakarta Post, January

22, 2005.


26 “Indonesian Political Forces,” The Economist Intelligence Unit, May 17, 2005.
27 A’an Suryana, “Political Parties Still Lack Maturity,” The Jakarta Post, May 12, 2005.