Steel: Price and Policy Issues
Steel: Price and Policy Issues
Updated October 31, 2007
Specialist in Industrial Organization and Business
Resources, Science, and Industry Division
Steel: Price and Policy Issues
The rapid growth of steel production and demand in China is widely considered
as a major cause of continued high steel prices and prices of steelmaking inputs.
Steel companies have achieved much greater pricing power, in part through an
ongoing consolidation of the industry. High prices persist, despite the revocation in
U.S. steel production in 2006 was 108 million tons. The integrated side of the
industry continues to lose share domestically to the minimills. Imports rebounded
in 2006 to reach the highest tonnage level ever, though they declined in 2007. Input
prices, especially ferrous scrap and iron ore, remain high, meaning higher costs,
which have been largely passed along to industrial consumers.
China now produces 40% of the world’s steel and is the world’s largest
steelmaker and steel consumer. This contributed to a large global increase in demand
for both steel and steelmaking inputs. China has become a large net exporter as well.
In 2006, its steel exports to the U.S. market more than doubled, and it became the
second-largest import source.
Congress became increasingly concerned over allegedly unfair trade competition
from China, and has considered many proposals to deal with these issues. In the
110th Congress, bills were introduced to allow penalty tariffs to offset a country’s
manipulation of its currency exchange rate for trade advantage. The Commerce
Department undertook a countervailing duty case against China, and the U.S.
government also brought a case in the World Trade Organization against China over
subsidies, including subsidization of steel exports. The U.S. steel industry sponsored
in 2007 a report that detailed alleged government subsidies to the Chinese industry.
The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) has terminated some trade
remedy cases and orders against imported steel products. But in other cases, orders
have been upheld, and new cases are proceeding. President Bush decided in a China
safeguard case not to provide relief for domestic producers of steel pipe, despite a
positive ITC determination. The Byrd Amendment, under which domestic steel
producers receive distributions of trade remedy duties, was repealed by P.L. 109-171,
and is no longer in effect from October 1, 2007.
Internationally, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
has abandoned the effort to achieve an international agreement to ban subsidies for
steel mills. In April 2006 the World Trade Organization (WTO) Appellate Body
ruled against the “zeroing” methodology used by the U.S. Commerce Department in
calculating dumping margins.
Current State of the Steel Industry.....................................3
U.S. Production and Employment.................................3
North American and Global Steel Industry Consolidation..............7
ArcelorMittal: Global Industry Giant...........................9
North American Restructuring Affects Other U.S. Companies......10
Building New U.S. Mills...................................14
Local Ownership Ends at Canadian and Mexican Mills...........15
Labor Relations Issues.....................................16
World Steel Output Totals......................................18
U.S. Import Patterns...........................................18
Steel Price Trends and Developments.................................19
Steel Prices Remain at a High Plateau.............................19
Steel Input Costs.............................................22
Rise in the Price of Iron Ore................................25
The Cost and Supply of Coke...............................26
The Price of Natural Gas...................................28
The Impact of the Growth of China...............................30
China as a Steel Producer, Consumer, and Exporter..............30
China’s Proposed Steel Industry Restructuring..................33
The U.S. WTO Case Against Chinese Subsidies.................37
Chinese Measures to Restrain Steel Exports....................38
China’s Foreign Investment Policy on Steel....................39
Congressional Reaction to Competition from China..............40
Steel Policy Issues................................................44
Failure to Achieve a Global Steel Subsidies Agreement...............44
Repeal of the Byrd Amendment..................................46
Industry Petitioners Lose Wire Rod Antidumping Case —
President Bush Denies Relief in China Safeguard Case...............50
ITC Revokes Duties for Steel Flat Products in 2006..................52
ITC Broadly Upholds Steel AD/CVD Tariffs in 2007.................54
WTO Decision on “Zeroing” and Proposed U.S. Trade Law Changes....56
List of Figures
Figure 1. Sources of U.S. Steel.......................................5
Figure 2. Employment in the U.S. Steel Industry.........................6
Figure 3. Steel Exports by Country...................................33
Table 1. Top Global and North American Steel Producers..................8
Table 2. Steel Price Series, 2001-2007................................21
Steel: Price and Policy Issues
With growing demand at home and abroad, the domestic steel industry is strong
and profitable, but also more subject to globalized ownership and international
competitive pressures. Many American businesses are concerned by a long-term
increase in the price of steel that has resulted from these trends. Some Members of
Congress were once concerned that the steel safeguard tariffs, imposed in 2002 by
President Bush under the terms of Section 201 of U.S. trade law, could have been
keeping steel prices artificially high. Before those tariffs were terminated on
December 4, 2003, the costs of raw materials and other inputs in steelmaking rose,
thus creating a cost-driven increase in the price of steel. After the tariffs were
removed, the price increase nevertheless accelerated. On the other hand, after decades
of implementing efficiency improvements while struggling to be profitable, many
steel companies in 2004 found themselves making more money than in many years.
Higher steel prices for consuming industries since then have been exacerbated by
global economic growth, which increased demand for steel.
In 2005 the rate of growth of U.S. industrial output moderated, and the price of
steel, domestic steel output, and steel mill companies’ earnings all declined. But the
growth of China contributed to a large increase in global demand for both steel and
steelmaking inputs, thus keeping the cost of domestic steel high. China has become
both the world’s largest steelmaker and steel consumer. China also became a net
exporter of steel, including such a large increase of exports to the U.S. market that
it became the second-largest national import supplier in 2006.
Since 2005 a number of policy decisions have adversely affected the interests
of domestic steel producers:
!The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
(OECD) abandoned its efforts to negotiate an agreement among all
major steel-producing countries to ban domestic subsidies for steel
!Congress approved and President Bush signed into law a federal
deficit reduction bill repealed the Continued Dumping and Subsidy
Offset Act (“Byrd Amendment”), under which many domestic steel
producers received distributions of antidumping and countervailing
duties charged on imports.
!The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC), in two five-year
sunset reviews of existing trade remedy tariffs on widely traded
products, decided in December 2006 that the threat of material injury
to domestic producers no longer existed from imports of cut-to-
length steel plate or from imports of corrosion-resistant cold-rolled
steel from most countries, and thereby eliminated the subject remedy
!The ITC decided in late 2006 that domestic steel wire rod producers
were not materially injured, and thereby terminated an antidumping
case brought by domestic steel companies against imports from
China, Turkey, and Germany.
!President Bush decided in a special trade safeguard case not to
provide trade relief for domestic producers of steel pipe against
imports from China.
!The World Trade Organization (WTO) Appellate Body in April
2006 ruled that the so-called “zeroing” methodology used by the
U.S. Commerce Department in calculating dumping margins
violates WTO rules, when used in administrative reviews. The
Commerce Department has modified its assessments in a way that
led to lower dumping margins in steel industry cases.
But in decisions that were more positive for the steel industry in sunset reviews
of andtidumping and countervailing duty (AD-CVD) orders, the ITC decided to keep
most penalty duties on hot-rolled, line pipe and reinforcing bar imports, though it
eliminated AD duties on many steel products used by the domestic petroleum
industry. Furthermore, the Bush Administration announced in February 2007 that it
was taking a case against China to the WTO under the organization’s rules on
prohibited subsidies. The U.S. domestic steel industry has complained about
pervasive and continuing government subsidies of Chinese producers. In its
announcement, the U.S. government explicitly included steel among the Chinese
industries that had benefitted from subsidies. Both steel producers and steel
consuming industries have complained that China manipulates its exchange rate to
enhance its trade competitiveness, and a number of bills have been introduced in
Congress that would define China’s exchange rate policy as a distortion of trade and
subject to U.S. retaliatory measures.
Whatever the net impact of these policy developments, the price of steel is
generally double or triple the price when steel safeguards were introduced in 2002.
Although costs of steelmaking inputs have also increased, as this report describes in
detail, the steel industry as a whole has become highly profitable, in direct contrast
to its condition just a few years earlier.
Profitability may be partly the result of global industry consolidation. Two of
the four largest U.S. steelmakers are now foreign-owned, as opposed to none of the
top 10 steelmakers being foreign-owned less than 15 years ago. There is also only
one significant Canadian-owned steelmaker left, and it is in the process of being
acquired by U.S. Steel. Most of the industry in Mexico is now owned by companies
from outside North America. ArcelorMittal, the world’s largest steelmaker, with
operations on virtually every continent, is now also the largest steel producer in North
America, though U.S. Steel may regain the lead. Some American companies,
particularly U.S. Steel, have also expanded abroad, but to a much lesser extent than
foreign investment here. While financially stronger and more profitable than at any
time in the last generation, the steel industry in the United States and North America
is also far more internationalized in its ownership. Moreover, while the sustained
high price of steel has encouraged a spate of plans and actual new construction of
steel mills, in virtually all cases the mills are being financed and controlled by foreign
Current State of the Steel Industry
U.S. Production and Employment
The sharp rise in demand for steel, plus the consolidation of the industry, led to
higher steel prices and profits almost across the board in the industry in 2004. But
in 2005, production, prices and apparent domestic consumption all declined. The
resurgence of supply in 2004 coincided with a dramatic rise in domestic steel prices.
As production declined with demand in 2005, prices also declined. But they
remained historically strong, and fell nowhere near the levels seen before the
imposition of trade safeguard remedies in 2002. In 2006 overall prices remained
high, even as domestic production increased significantly and imports set an all-time
Despite the volatility in steel prices over the past decade, domestic steel output
has remained surprisingly constant. Since 1997, U.S. domestic raw steel production
has only been more than 110 million net tons in one year (2000), and less than 100
million tons also in just one year (2001). In 2004, output increased from 103 million
tons to nearly 110 million tons, as U.S. mills benefitted from a worldwide recovery
in demand and prices. Then output fell back a little, to less than 105 million tons in
2005, before recovering again to more than 108 million tons in 2006. Capacity
utilization (defined in the industry as “capability utilization”) declined from 94.6%
in 2004 to stabilize at 87.5% in 2005-06.1
As prices have now remained strong for an extended period, several new U.S.
mills or expansions of existing mills are being completed or are on the drawing
board.2 It remains to be seen if this leads to an extended period of long-term growth
in domestic capacity. The restructuring and consolidation of the steel industry, which
is detailed below, has, according to many analysts, led to greater control over
production. This has led to higher prices as demand increased.3
1 American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). Annual Statistical Report, 2006, Tables 23 and
25. All tonnage figures in this CRS report are “short tons” (2,000 lbs.), as commonly used
in the U.S. steel industry. The exception in this report are international data, which are
reported in metric tons (MT, or “tonnes”) that are about 10% larger.
2 Wall St. Journal, “Steel’s Latest Hot Spot: The U.S.” (August 14, 2007), p. A10. New U.S.
steel mill investments are discussed in the following section.
3 See, for example, John Anton of Global Insight, “Steel Makers in U.S. Acting Responsibly,
Through the first part of 2007, overall prices remained high, as declining
demand and prices for automotive steels were offset by higher prices in some other
products. Total shipments of steel mill products were down by 4% through August
2007 and capacity utilization slipped to 86.1%, but the industry has continued to be
highly profitable, both domestically and globally.4
Though production has been stable in recent years, the relationship between the
two steelmaking technologies used in the United States has dramatically reversed in
terms of market shares. Figure 1 illustrates the changing patterns of U.S. steel
supply. Integrated mills produce steel from iron ore, using coke and other inputs.
They are characterized by unionized workforces and, in competing with both
minimills and imports, have been absorbing high levels of employee and retiree
benefit costs.5 The production of the large integrated mills using basic oxygen
furnace (BOF) technology (the last U.S. open hearth plant closed in 1991) hovered
around 60 million tons per year in the 1990s, then fell substantially below that figure
after 2000. The integrated side of the industry has consolidated by closing older
operations and increasing productivity. In 2004, production from integrated mills
increased 4% to 52.6 million tons, but in 2005 it decreased to 47.1 million tons, the
lowest level from this type of furnace since 1982. In 2006, BOF output fell again to
46.4 million tons. Integrated mills remain the sole source of certain high-volume
products, such as external sheet for automobiles, and U.S. motor vehicle production
has been on a down trend for the past two years.
Minimills employ electric-arc furnaces (EAFs), a newer technology. They have
overtaken integrated mills as the leading source of steel by tonnage in the United
States, and are now virtually the only domestic source of “long” products, such as
concrete reinforcing bars, steel wire rod, and construction beams. Although they may
use various forms of iron ore input, most minimills rely primarily on steel scrap,
which they remelt. The minimill sector is largely non-union, and, by contrast with
the integrated mills, provides defined-contribution employee pension packages
instead of benefits defined by union contract.6
Minimills steadily increased production after the recession of 1991 and gained
market share. Figure 1 shows that their production topped 50 million tons for the
first time in 2000, when it reached 47% of domestic raw steel production, up from
37% at the beginning of the 1990s. Minimill output fell significantly in 2001, then
recovered steadily. In 2006, annual minimill production exceeded 60 million tons
for the first time, and accounted for 57% of U.S. output, compared to 43% for the
integrated mills — almost exactly the reverse of the situation 10 years earlier.
Rest of the World Needs to Join,” Steel Monthly Report (November 2006), pp. 1-2.
4 Data from American Iron & Steel Institute(AISI), “Selected Steel Industry Data” (August
5 The so-called “legacy cost” issue is discussed detail in CRS Report RL31748, The
American Steel Industry: A Changing Profile, pp. 25-29. See also CRS Report RL33169,
Comparing Steel and Automotive Industry Legacy Cost Issues.
6 The best-known business model in the minimill industry, that of Nucor Inc., the largest
EAF producer, is described in detail in Business Week, “The Art of Motivation” (May 1,
Figure 1. Sources of U.S. Steel
0 91 92 3 4 5 96 7 8 9 0 01 2 3 4 5 06
199 19 19 199 199 199 19 199 199 199 200 20 200 200 200 200 20
Basic Oxygen Furnace & Open Hearth
Electric Arc Furnace
Source: American Iron & Steel Institute. Annual Statistical Reports.
Figure 1 also shows the level of imports, which has been somewhat erratic, but
on an upward trend and reached an all-time record in 2006. They increased steadily
in the 1990s, then surged in 1998 to more than 40 million tons. The movement of
imports has been up and down since that peak. During the application of safeguard
tariffs, imports fell in 2003 to 23.1 million tons, the lowest level since 1993. Once
the safeguards were removed, and given strong domestic demand, imports increased
more than 50% in 2004, to 35.8 million tons. Imports in 2005 fell back to 32 million
tons. But they increased again to a new record of 45.1 million tons in 2006. Part of
the reason, as is observed later in the discussion of prices, is the shift in the structure
of demand toward products used in energy and industrial production, even as demand
for flat steel in the auto and appliance industries softened. Another major shift in the
2006 was in the sources of U.S. imports, as is discussed below. Through August
2007, imports declined about a quarter by tonnage, according to the American Iron
and Steel Institute.
This figure does not show the rising significance of steel exports as a share of
total U.S. steel production. This has become increasingly significant as the decline
in the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar against most foreign currencies. While
exports of steel mill products were around 5-6 million tons between 1997 and 2002,
the export trend began to strengthen in 2003, and reached 9.7 million tons in 2006.7
While imports declined substantially through early 2007, exports increased by 10%,
7 AISI. 2006 Annual Statistical Report, Table 14.
and had risen to one-third the level of imports for the year.8 But the overall bulk of
U.S. steel exports are to the North American Free Trade Agreement partners, Canada
and Mexico. Of 9.7 million tons exported in 2006, 6.1 million tons went to Canada,
and another 2.2 million tons to Mexico. Together, they accounted for 85% of all U.S.
steel mill exports.9
Figure 2. Employment in the U.S. Steel Industry
90 991 992 993 994 995 9 96 997 998 999 000 0 01 002 003 004 005 0 06
19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Iron and Steel Mills (NAICS 3311)
Steel Products From Purchased Steel (NAICS 3312)
Source: U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The recovery of the steel industry was reflected in steel mill employment levels
in 2005, as measured under the North American Industry Classification System
(NAICS 3311). As reported in average annual employment levels by the Bureau of
Labor Statistics, 2005 was the first year since 1990 that employment in the industry
did not decrease (Figure 2). It grew marginally from 95,400 to 95,700, despite
continued progress in both the minimill and integrated sectors in reducing the
worker-hours required to produce a ton of steel.10 This compares to an overall
decline of almost 50% in steel mill employment since 1990, which had occurred year
by year, whatever the economic conditions in the industry. The only difference had
been slower decline in the mid-1990s, as opposed to a faster decline during and after
the late 1990s, when the industry was under heavy pressure from imports or low
demand levels because of recessionary conditions. In 2006, employment attrition
resumed, at a slow pace, to 94,400 steel mill employees.
8 AISI. “Selected Data” (August 2007).
9 AISI. 2006 Annual Statistical Report, Table 16.
10 Employees per thousand tons of steel mill shipments have declined by almost half since
1990, from 1.93 to 1.11 in 2006. AISI, Annual Statistical Report 2006, chart in executive
Figure 2 also illustrates employment levels in industries that fabricate steel
products from primary steel produced elsewhere (NAICS 3312). This includes
rolling mills, and pipe and tube producers. These data showed a little more
fluctuation with domestic macroeconomic trends than employment in the mills that
make steel. By 1995, employment regained the level of 70,000 seen in 1990, and by
2000 it had increased to more than 73,000. The recession of 2001, followed by the
increased price of raw steel after late 2003, saw the annual employment level decline
to about 60,000.
North American and Global Steel Industry Consolidation
One of the stated purposes of the presidential action of 2002 on steel safeguards11
was to effect a restructuring of the domestic steel industry. To a great extent, that
restructuring has been achieved. There are now two dominant players among
integrated steel mill companies in the United States and North America, and two
clear market leaders among the minimill producers. Moreover, the leading North
American and global producer, Mittal Steel, in 2006 acquired the global number-two
producer, Arcelor.12 The recovery of pricing power in the domestic industry may be
attributable to industry consolidation, as well as to rising global demand spurred by
China. But, ironically, the establishment of industry pricing power, plus the rise of
global demand and steel prices and the falling exchange rate of the dollar, have also
made establishment of new production facilities in the United States an attractive
11 “I have determined that the safeguard measures will facilitate efforts by the domestic
industries to make a positive adjustment to import competition...[including] consolidation
of United States steel producers...” President George W. Bush. Memorandum on “Action
under Section 203 of the Trade Act of 1974 Concerning Certain Steel Products” (March 5,
12 Both companies are headquartered in western Europe, although Mittal Steel’s production
assets were widely distributed around the world, including Indonesia, Kazakhstan, South
Africa, Poland, Ukraine, South Africa, Mexico and the United States. Arcelor was itself the
result of consolidation of two French-owned steel companies, the Luxembourg steel
company and a Spanish steel company. Arcelor’s global assets included control of CST of
Brazil, the world’s largest merchant exporter of semi-finished slab steel. It had no U.S.
production assets, though it acquired the leading Canadian producer, Dofasco, in January
2006. See: Bloomberg.com, “Mittal Makes $22.7 Bln. Unsolicited Bid for Arcelor” (January
Wall St. Journal, “Profits Decline at Mittal, Arcelor as They Continue Takeover Duel” (May
13, 2006), p. A2; and, “Arcelor Expected to Reject Higher Mittal Bid That Evens Voting
Rights” (May 20, 2006), p. A3; AMM, “Arcelor Trips Mittal with Severstal Deal” (May 30,
2006). On accession of the Arcelor board to Mittal’s increased offer in June 2006, see Wall
St. Journal, “Arcelor Agrees to Acquisition by Rival Mittal” (June 26, 2006), p. A3, and
“Arcelor Shareholders Accept Mittal Takeover Offer” (online ed., July 26, 2006); and,
Chicago Tribune, “Steelmakers Forge Merger Deal” (June 26, 2006), p. 1. For a detailed
analysis of the implications and impact of a Mittal-Arcelor deal on the global steel market,
see Economist, “Age of Giants” (February 4-10, 2006), pp. 55-56; and, “Little Love Lost”
(July 1, 2006). Lakshmi Mittal’s account of his own business strategy is in Wall St. Journal,
“Big Steel” (August 3, 2006), p. A6.
Table 1 shows the results of global consolidation in the industry in recent years,
and the relative position for leading companies in the United States, Canada, and
Mexico. The table includes the world’s 20 leading producers, then all of the other
top producers in North America, whether they are domestic- or foreign-owned. The
table reveals that not only is the largest steelmaker in North America a company
based outside the region, but also that recent and pending acquisitions have put much
of the domestic industry in the hands of foreign-owned companies. Locally owned
Canadian and Mexican steel companies have virtually disappeared or are
Table 1. Top Global and North American Steel Producers
GlobalHQMakes Steel in2006 Output
RankCountryN.Am.?(MT mils.) a
POSCO 3 Korea N 31.20
JFE Steel 4JapanY32.20b
Nucor 8 USA Y 20.31
T a ngsha n 9 Chi na N 1 9 . 0 6
Riva 10 Italy N 18.19
T hyssenKrupp 12 Germany Y 16.80
Evraz Holding Groupd13RussiaN16.10
Gerdau 14 Brazil Y 15.57
Anshan 15 China N 15.00
Wuhan Iron & Steel Group17ChinaN13.76
Sumito mo 18 Japan N 13.58
Steel Authority of India Ltd.19IndiaN13.50
SSAB / I p sco e 39 Sweden Y 7 .21
Stelco g 71 Canada Y 3 .81
Altos Hornos de Mexico79MexicoY3.36
Commercial Metals Co.88USAY3.09
Vallour ec 95 France Y 2 .79
Acerinox 105 Sp ain Y 2.58
Source: Adapted from Metal Bulletin (March 12, 2007) for data on tonnage and global rankings.
a. Includes total 2006 production of both Arcelor and Mittal Steel.
b. Acquired Corus Group of UK/Neth. in Apr. 2007, incl. U.S specialty steel operations; output is
combined total for 2006.
c. Produces stainless steel at operation in Mexico.
d. Acquired Oregon Steel; combined 2006 output.
e. Ipsco agreed to acquisition by SSAB in Jun. 2007; combined 2006 output.
f. Algoma Steel of Canada agreed to acquisition by Essar in Jun. 2007 — combined 2006 output;
Essar has also acquired Minnesota Steel, a new mill being built in the Mesabi iron range.
g. Agreed to acquisition by U.S. Steel (Aug. 2007).
ArcelorMittal: Global Industry Giant. At the top of the table is
ArcelorMittal, whose combined 2006 output of 118 million MT was three times that
of any other company. Lakshmi Mittal, an entrepreneur originally from India, has
been building a global steel empire with operations in places as varied as Poland,
South Africa, and Central Asia. With completion of the Arcelor deal, Mittal controls
a combined company that produces 10% of global steel output.13 Among Mittal’s
earlier acquisitions was a U.S. integrated steel mill, Inland Steel. He also acquired
a major Mexican producer, the integrated steel works on the Pacific coast at Lazaro
Cardenas. But his major coup in becoming the leading North American steelmaker
was the acquisition of the International Steel Group (ISG). This occurred after the
North American steel industry had nearly collapsed with more than three dozen
bankruptcies after 1998. About one-third of the companies on earlier lists of leading
U.S. and Canadian steel mill operators in 2002-2003 disappeared from independent
existence, either having gone out of business or merged into other companies.
The first bankruptcy that started a consolidation process was that of LTV Steel,
which became the foundation for ISG in 2002, when financier Wilbur L. Ross led a
group that bought the company out of liquidation. Ross put together a steel empire
under the ISG name that soon came to challenge U.S. Steel as the largest U.S.
integrated steel producer. He acquired another venerable, but bankrupt, producer,
Bethlehem Steel, in 2003. In 2004, ISG acquired Weirton Steel, a former National
Steel spinoff that had tried to survive as an independent, employee-owned
corporation, but was finally forced to sell out after 20 years. Ross’ group also
acquired a South Carolina minimill operation, Georgetown Steel, which had gone
into bankruptcy twice in recent years. Ross’ group was not responsible for the
pension and health care legacy costs of the acquired companies. The underfunded
pension funds of bankrupt steel producers were taken over by the Pension Benefit
Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), an entity chartered by Congress, while retirees lost
their company-sponsored health care benefits. Ross also negotiated new labor
contracts with the United Steelworkers (USWA) and other unions representing the
integrated mills. These agreements conflated the number of job descriptions within
integrated mills and otherwise streamlined the organization of labor within plants.14
But ISG’s own days as an independent operator were short-lived.
In 2004 Ross reached an agreement with Mittal, under which the latter’s global
holdings were first consolidated as Mittal Steel, then merged with the holdings of
ISG in April 2005 for a payment of about $4.5 billion to Ross and other ISG
shareholders. Thus, Mittal Steel became the largest domestic U.S. steel producer,
considering both the ISG acquisition and its previously owned Inland Steel
operations, as well as the largest in the world.15
13 Wall St. Journal, “Arcelor Agrees to ... Mittal” (June 26, 2006); Bloomberg.com,
“ArcelorMittal Buys Villacero Mill for $1.4 Billion” (December 20, 2006).
14 For a quick summary of steel legacy cost developments, see CRS Report RL33169,
Comparing Automotive and Steel Industry Legacy Cost Issues, esp. pp. 6-7 and 12-13. An
earlier and more detailed account is in CRS Report RL31748, The American Steel Industry:
A Changing Profile.
15 Ispat International N.V., Ispat International to Acquire LNM Holdings to Form Mittal
In approving the subsequent ArcelorMittal merger under U.S. antitrust law, the
Justice Department did indicate a concern with how the deal would affect the tinplate
market. Ultimately, Justice determined that ArcelorMittal would have to dispose of
its Sparrows Point integrated steel mill (formerly owned by Bethlehem Steel) near
Baltimore. In August 2007, it was announced that Sparrows Point would be sold to
a joint venture led by Esmark, which had also acquired Wheeling-Pittsburgh Steel
(see below), with participation by companies from Brazil and Ukraine.16 Mittal Steel
also decided in 2005 to end steelmaking operations at Weirton, though tin-coating
operations there are continuing.17
North American Restructuring Affects Other U.S. Companies. Only
two other companies with major operations in the United States are among the top
Both have substantially increased the global scale of their operations through
acquisitions made during the period of low prices and difficult operating conditions
after 2001. They are respectively seventh and eighth on the global list, with each
producing more than 20 million metric tons worldwide in 2006.
Historically, the largest domestic steelmaker had been U.S. Steel, the integrated
steelmaking company that had held the title for a century until 2002. It significantly
expanded its domestic operations, and took an important step in the domestic
consolidation process, when it acquired another major integrated company, National
Steel, out of bankruptcy in 2003. As in the creation of ISG, U.S. Steel only made this
acquisition after PBGC declared National Steel’s pension fund insolvent and took it
over. Also, U.S. Steel used the new pattern of labor relations with the USWA,
established earlier by ISG in its dealings with the union, to write a new labor contract
for all its U.S. steelmaking operations — both the continuing U.S. Steel plants and
the newly acquired National Steel facilities.18
Steel Co. — International Steel Group to Merge with Mittal Steel for Cash and Stock,” news
release (October 25, 2004); Washington Post, “Steelmaker to Be Sold for $4.5 Billion”
(October 26, 2004), p. E1; Wall St. Journal, “Deal Would Create No. 1 Steelmaker”
(October 26, 2004); Financial Times, “Mittal Plan to Create First Global Steel Group”
(October 26, 2004); and “Merger Reveals Details of Mittal Empire” (October 29, 2004);
Business Week, “A New Goliath in Big Steel” (November 8, 2004), pp. 47-8; and, “The Raja
of Steel” (December 20, 2004), pp. 50-2.
16 Wall St. Journal, “Mittal Sells Mill in U.S. as Part of Arcelor Deal” (August 3, 2007), p.
A6; AMM, “Esmark Joint Venture to Buy Sparrows Point Mill” (August 3, 2007); and,
“Justice Asking for Trustee to Sell Sparrows Point Mill” (August 8, 2007).
17 Ibid., “Mittal Tells Weirton Plant: Tin Is In, But Furnace Out” (December 15, 2005); and,
“Mittal Formally Announces Weirton Plant’s Shutdown” (January 2, 2006). In 2007,
ArcelorMittal announced closure of all operations except the tinplate mill at Weirton; ibid.,
“Arcelor Mittal to Shut Weirton Hot-Strip Mill” (October 19, 2007), p. 6.
18 The story of U.S. Steel winning a takeover battle for National against AK Steel, with the
support of the USWA, was described as it unfolded in AMM, January 10, 13, 24 and 27;
February 3 and 10; April 21 and May 21, 2003; See also, Bloomberg.com, “AK Steel Makes
Rival $1.02 Billion Bid for National Steel” (January 23, 2003). On the USWA role in
In 2007, U.S. Steel made other major North American acquisitions, purchasing
Lone Star Technologies, a specialist in producing tubular steel products, for $2.3
billion and Stelco, the last major independent Canadian steelmaker (see below). The
takeover of Stelco would increase U.S. Steel’s North American steelmaking capacity
to more than 25 million tons, enough to make it again the leading producer on the
continent. U.S. Steel is also the U.S. domestic steelmaker that has been most active
in expansion abroad in recent years, having acquired a large integrated mill in
Kosiče, Slovakia (now known as USSK) and another in Serbia. With the Stelco
acquisition, U.S. Steel would have more than 30 million MT in global steel capacity,
enough to move up in Table 1 to fifth place among world steel companies.19
All of the net expansion in U.S. production in recent years has occurred in the
minimill sector. Nucor is the leading U.S. minimill operator. Before the creation
of ISG, it temporarily became the largest domestic steel producer in 2002, passing
U.S. Steel. It now operates 18 mills in 13 states, and poured more than 20 million
MT of steel in 2006. In recent years, Nucor has expanded mostly by acquisitions,
notably through buying financially struggling Birmingham Steel Corporation out of
a “prepackaged” bankruptcy in 2002. Birmingham Steel at that time was the second-20
largest U.S. minimill operator.
The second-largest minimill operator in North America is GerdauAmeristeel,
the subsidiary of a company based in Brazil. While in 2006 it produced only about
a third of the tonnage of Nucor in the domestic market, it has clearly distanced itself
from the remaining minimill companies and is the other major U.S. minimill
consolidator. Gerdau in 2002 acquired a Canadian-based company with U.S.
minimill operations, Co-Steel, plus one mill from Birmingham Steel. It consolidated
these mills together with its own North American operations to create Gerdau
Ameristeel, operating in both the United States and Canada. Then, in 2004, Gerdau
acquired North Star Steel, controlled by Cargill Inc., which was seeking to exit the
steelmaking business.21 In July 2007 GerdauAmeristeel also announced that it had
reached agreement on a $4.2 billion deal to acquire Chaparral Steel, a company with
minimills in Texas and Virginia, and which is a major competitor in the market for22
reorganizing the industry and renegotiating labor contracts more generally, see AMM,
December 24, 2002, January 8, 2003 and “A Template for Change” in January 20, 2003
print ed., pp. 2-4; Business Week, “Salvation from the Shop Floor” (February 3, 2003), pp.
19 On these acquisitions, see AMM, “U.S. Steel Completes Purchase of Lone Star” (June 18,
20 For a summary of Nucor’s acquisitions and other developments, including Gerdau’s
expansion, in consolidation of minimill operations, see AMM, “Out of Easy Targets, Buyers
Are Beginning to Look Upstream” (February 7, 2005 print ed.), pp. 10-11.
21 AMM, September 10 and November 3, 2004.
22 Wall St. Journal, “Gerdau Sets Deal to Acquire Chaparral Steel” (July 11, 2007), p. A10;
A result of this consolidation is that two companies based outside North
America, Mittal, the largest operator of U.S. integrated steel mills, and Gerdau, the
second-largest operator of U.S. minimills, together control between a quarter and a
third of annual North American industry output. This is an historic change for a
domestic industry that had been almost exclusively North American-based.23
In effect, the industry is highly integrated across North America. There are no
tariffs or trade barriers across the borders under terms of the North American Free
Trade Agreement. Although imports from Canada and Mexico are fully subject to
U.S. antidumping and countervailing duties, they were exempted by President Bush
from the safeguard tariffs, and therefore achieved share gains in the U.S. market.
Also, the USWA, the major union in the industry, operates in both the United States
and Canada. It is not present in Mexico, where government interference in union
affairs was a major issue in 2006.24
The smaller integrated steel mills have almost disappeared as independent
entities under the wave of international consolidation. Rouge Steel, originally
founded by Henry Ford to supply his Detroit motor vehicle manufacturing operation,
was acquired by a large Russian company, Severstal. The company subsequently
rose to the eleventh position in world steel production rankings in 2005, as shown in
Table 1. As part of Arcelor’s efforts to fend off potential acquisition by Mittal,
Severstal’s CEO, Alexei Mordashov, agreed in May 2006 to merge his company with
Arcelor, which would have made the combined company the new top global steel
producer. Mordashov was to take a 32% share of the combined company, with the
right to appoint one-third of the directors, but Arcelor’s shareholders ultimately
approved the merger with Mittal and rejected the deal with Severstal.25 While this
deal failed, Severstal has taken the major financial interest in building a new minimill
in Mississippi (see below).
The remaining U.S. independent integrated mills are:
!AK Steel (no. 50 on the global list), a widely diversified steel product
manufacturer with integrated steel operations.
!Wheeling-Pittsburgh (no. 113) had been bankrupt, but used an
Emergency Steel Loan Guarantee to secure financing to build a new
AMM, “Ameristeel Agrees to Buy Chaparral for $4.22 Billion” (July 12, 2007).
23 A good summary list of all industry takeovers and mergers through early 2005 is in
Timothy J. Considine, The Transformation of the North American Steel Industry (April
24 The Mexican government effectively removed from office Napoleon Gómez Urrutia, head
of the Miners and Metalworkers union, by recognizing as its head a dissident rival. It
charged Gómez with malfeasance and misuse of funds. He has legally challenged this action,
amid strong national protests against the government, and has been supported internationally
by the AFL-CIO and the USWA. A detailed report is in AMM, “A Deposed Leader Ignites
the Labor Reform Movement in Mexico” (March 13, 2006, print ed.), p. 12.
25 AMM, “Severstal Vote Clears Way for Arcelor-Mittal” (July 3, 2006).
minimill, and also become an operator of both technologies.26
Losing money again, despite a steel market that has remained strong
and relatively stable, Wheeling-Pitt became the object of a takeover
battle between Brazil’s CSN and Esmark, a steel distribution
company. It was eventually acquired by the latter.27
!WCI Steel of Warren, Ohio (not on list) reorganized out of
bankruptcy in May 2006.
!Republic Engineered Products, not on the list and also based in
Ohio, now specializes in bar products, primarily for the automotive
industry, and operates both an integrated mill and a minimill. The
company is the successor of Republic Steel, founded by Cyrus Eaton
in 1930. It has gone through several major changes in recent
decades, including operation as an employee-owned company and
two periods of bankruptcy. In 2005, Republic was acquired by
Industrias CH, a company based in Mexico.28
Steel Dynamics and Commercial Metals (CMC), on the bottom half of the
global list, are U.S.-based minimill operators. Two foreign-owned companies with
significant U.S. steelmaking operations are also in the lower end of the table.
Vallourec (no. 95) is the French-based parent of V&M, a tube-making specialist that
operates a minimill in Youngstown, Ohio. Acerinox of Spain is listed 105th because
it specializes in stainless steel, a low-volume but high-value product. Its North
American Stainless plant in Kentucky is the largest stainless steel plant in the United
In another acquisition by a foreign steelmaker in the U.S. market, Evraz, a
Russian producer that ranked behind Severstal as the thirteenth global producer in
Table 1, acquired Oregon Steel in a $2.3 billion friendly takeover bid. The target
was a minimill producer based in Portland. Oregon Steel did not rank among the
largest U.S. minimill companies, but it was the last independently owned steelmaker
on the West Coast. The deal makes the combined company the world’s largest rail
producer (the main product of Rocky Mountain Steel Mills in Colorado, which is29
owned by Oregon Steel). Oregon Steel also operates one of the few mills in North
26 Ibid., August 4 and September 10, 2003; March 8, 2004 print ed.
27 The outcome is summarized in ibid., “New Executive Team in Place at Wheeling-Pitt”
(December 22, 2006).
28 Cleveland Plain Dealer, “Mexican Company Buys Republic Engineered” (July 23, 2005),
29 Financial Times, “Evraz Group to Buy Oregon for $2.3 Billion,” and “Combination Will
Dominate Rail Market” (November 21, 2006); AMM, “Evraz Buy of Oregon Steel Fills Void
at Both Producers” (November 21, 2006). Aspects of the deal reportedly concerned the
Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, the multiagency Executive Branch
body that reviews acquisitions by foreign-owned companies with respect to national security
issues; ibid., “Evraz-Oregon Steel Deal Raising Questions in DC” (December 13, 2006). But
it ultimately was allowed to go through; ibid., “Evraz Given ‘Go’ to Pursue $2.3B Buy of
Oregon Steel” (January 11, 2007); and, “Oregon Steel Purchase Complete” (January 25,
America capable of producing large-diameter pipe, necessary for building long-
distance natural gas pipelines.30
Building New U.S. Mills. While international consolidation has brought
more ownership from overseas to the U.S. and North American market, it has also
increased interest in building new steel production facilities in the United States.
Partly this can be explained by higher steel prices and exchange rate developments
that make dollar-based production more favorable. But probably the main driver is
the interest of major foreign-owned companies in establishing a larger presence in
the domestic market. With the major assets already acquired by competitors, the
alternative is to establish new production.
!The biggest new project is the plan of Germany’s ThyssenKrupp,
number 12 on the list in Table 1, to build a new mill in Alabama at
an estimated cost of nearly $3 billion, in order to have steelmaking
capacity close to U.S. automotive assembly plants. This mill will
primarily roll semi-finished steel slab that the company will import
from a joint venture plant being built in Brazil.31 The project
followed ThyssenKrupp’s failure to acquire the Canadian steel
company Dofasco (see below).
!With the same target of supplying the southern U.S. auto assembly
plants, a new minimill in eastern Mississippi is already starting
production. Severstal is the primary financial source and controlling
owner of the new plant, which is being managed by John Correnti,
former CEO of Birmingham Steel.32
!There is also the Minnesota Steel project, originally financed locally,
to build a new steel mill on the Mesabi range, and to utilize directly
the taconite produced at a nearby mine. Essar Global Ltd., a leading
steel company in India, in 2007 acquired the project.33
30 See CRS Report RL33716, Alaska Natural Gas Pipelines: Interaction of the Natural Gas
and Steel Markets.
31 These developments are summarized in Ibid., “ThyssenKrupp Launching New Strategies
for Growth” (August 14, 2006); “TK to Step Up US Plans; Court Nixes Dofasco Plea”
(January 24, 2007); and, “Alabama Picked as Site of TK’s New Steel Plant” (May 14, 2007).
TK also plans to melt and roll stainless steel at the new plant, for shipment to its Mexican
stainless steel facility for further processing.
32 Ibid., “SeverCorr Rising” (December 5, 2005 print ed.), pp. 4-5; “SeverCorr Goes Hot,
Produces First Steel Sheet” (August 30, 2007); and, “Severstal Sold on SeverCorr, US Steel
Market” (October 25, 2007).
33 Minneapolis Star-Tribune, “Iron Range’s New Steel Plant Deal Is Sealed” (October 25,
Note, however, that Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty has threatened to block the transaction
because of concern with Essar’s reported plan to build a large oil refinery in Iran; ibid.,
“Minn. Leader Tosses Wrench in Essar’s Iron Range Plans” (October 30, 2007).
!Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works (MMK), a Russian company,
filed plans in 2007 with the state regulators in Ohio to build a 1 .0 to
1.5 million ton annual capacity minimill on the Ohio River near the
town of Haverhill. In the views of some analysts, MMK’s plans
remain a bit vague.34 MMK is not listed in the global table above,
but in the source for the table, it ranked twenty-third as a global steel
producer in 2006 with 12.5 million MT.
!Vaguer than the MMK proposal is an otherwise unidentified “group
of European investors” also reported to be interested in building a
“billion-dollar-plus” steel mill in Ohio.35
Local Ownership Ends at Canadian and Mexican Mills. Another
feature of the table is the virtual disappearance of Canadian companies from the list.
One of the two largest and the most profitable, Dofasco, in January 2006 was the
target of a takeover battle between two large European-based companies, Arcelor and36
ThyssenKrupp. Ultimately, control was acquired by Arcelor, which then placed
Dofasco in a trust operated by a Netherlands-based foundation to make more difficult
the parent company’s hostile takeover by Mittal. Mittal had agreed to sell Dofasco
to ThyssenKrupp, if it acquired Arcelor, but the deal was blocked by the Dutch37
Canada’s largest minimill operator was also acquired by a company based
outside North America. Ipsco had moved its headquarters to Illinois, but its origins
were in western Canada, and it maintained operations in both countries. On May 3,
a producer of high-value and specialty steel products. The 2006 output of the two
companies rank their combined output 39th among global steel companies.
In another friendly acquisition of a Canadian company, Essar of India acquired
Algoma Steel, based in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, in a $1.7 billion deal. The Essar-
Algoma combination ranks 54th in Table 1, based on more than five million MT in
2006 output. Thus, the Algoma acquisition is part of Essar’s plan to operate
integrated operations in the upper Great Lakes region.39
34 Ibid., “Ohio May Be Near to Landing Mill Project” (October 8, 2007), p. 4; and, “MMK
Mill Plan Is Bigger, Bolder Than Anticipated” (October 22, 2007).
35 Ibid., “Second Group Eyes $1-Billion Ohio Steel Mill” (October 23, 2007).
36 For example, see ibid., January 4 and 10, 2006.
37 See Wall St. Journal, “Arcelor Transfers Dofasco ...” (April 5, 2006); Financial Times,
“ArcelorMittal Will Have to Sell US Plant” (November 14, 2006); and, AMM, “TK Sues
Mittal Steel Over Foiled Dofasco Purchase” (December 27, 2006).
38 “Ipsco To Be Acquired by SSAB for U.S. $160 per Share for a Total Equity Value of U.S.
$7.7 Billion,” joint Ipsco-SSAB press release (May 3, 2007).
39 AMM, “Algoma Shareholders Approve Sale to Essar” (June 12, 2007), p. 6.
Finally, on August 26, 2007, U.S. Steel announced an agreement to acquire
Stelco. Stelco was in 2005 Canada’s largest steel producer and remained its last
locally owned major steel company. It reorganized in 2006 after two years in
bankruptcy protection.40 Its 2006 production of 3.81 million MT, well below the
company’s earlier levels, ranked it 71st globally in Table 1. The company, based in
the Canadian steelmaking center of Hamilton, Ontario, continued to struggle
financially, losing more than $C300 million in 2006, and was reported as negotiating
sales of some major assets. U.S. Steel announced an acquisition price of $1.1 billion41
(U.S.), plus assumption of Stelco’s debts and pension liabilities.
There is also just one company in Table 1 from Mexico. Altos Hornos de
Mexico S.A. (no. 79) is the last independently owned large Mexican steel mill. It has
operated in bankruptcy for much of the last 10 years.42 Argentina’s Techint Group
moved up to number 20 on the global list after acquiring other Latin American
operations, including Hylsamex, a Mexican minimill operation. In June 2006
Techint’s subsidiary Tenaris, reportedly the world’s largest supplier of seamless pipe
for the oil and gas industry, announced that it had reached a deal to acquire Maverick
Tube Corp., based in Missouri and the largest maker of oil country tubular goods in
Labor Relations Issues. Another structural change in the industry was the
merger of the United Steelworkers union with the Paper, Allied Industrial, Chemical
and Energy Workers International Union (PACE). The executive boards of the two
organizations agreed to the merger on January 11, 2005. The new union reportedly
totaled 850,000 members, located in bargaining units in the United States, Canada
and the Caribbean. While the merged union would have perhaps the longest formal
name in labor relations history (the “United Steel, Paper and Forestry, Rubber,
Manufacturing Energy, Allied Industrial and Service Workers International Union”),
its abbreviated name is the United Steelworkers, and Leo Gerard, the USWA44
president, is the head of the merged union.
Labor issues have affected the operations of two major U.S. producers in 2005-
06, and represent fallout from the industry consolidation process. AK Steel locked
out 2,400 workers represented by the Armco Employees Indepenedent Federation
(AEIF), a union not affiliated with the USWA, at its integrated Middletown, Ohio
mill on March 1, 2006, after the deadline passed to negotiate a new labor contract.
40 On Stelco’s emergence from bankruptcy, ibid., “Mott Paying $4.7 Million for 1M Shares
in Stelco” (April 4, 2006).
41 Ibid., “Unexpected Challenges Hurt Stelco Results” (March 9, 2007); “Stelco, Cliffs
Agree to Sell Wabush Stake” (June 7, 2007); “U.S. Steel Agrees to Buy Stelco ...” (August
28, 2007). U.S. Steel press release (August 26, 2007); and, AMM, “USS’ Shopping Spree
Is Not Over Yet” (October 2007 print ed.), p. 12.
42 Ibid., “Ahmsa Expected to Remain Major Player in Mexican Steel Industry” (January 25,
43 AMM, “Techint Inks Deal to Acquire All of Hylsamex for $2.25B” (May 20, 2005); and
“Tenaris Opens Door into US via $3.2B Deal for Maverick” (June 14, 2006).
44 Ibid., “Executive Boards of USW, PACE Union Vote to Merge” (January 12, 2005).
The company stated that the expired contract was outdated by the new contracts
negotiated at the other integrated mills, discussed above, operated the mill for a year
with salaried and temporary workers. Labor-management issues were further
complicated by an AEIF negotiating proposal for its members to be covered under
a mulitemployer health benefits plan operated by a third union, the International
Association of Machinists (IAM). The USWA represents other AK operations and
has tried to organize Middletown, but AEIF members in July 2006 voted to affiliate
with the IAM instead.45
Agreement between the IAM and AK management was reached after further
negotiations, and ratified by 85% of the workers represented. The company was able
to freeze pension liabilities, and going forward made defined contributions to IAM’s
multi-employer pension plan. While increasing wages, the company in return
received contract changes similar to the USWA deals at other steel companies and
health care cost sharing. Besides the wage increase, employees gained job protection
for returning workers who had been locked out, and improved language related to
grievance procedures. But the new contract does not guarantee a base workforce
(earlier more than 3,000). About 1,800 employees returned to operate the plant.46
Another company significantly affected by labor-management concerns was
Gerdau Ameristeel. Although most minimills are non-union, the Brazilian-based
company acquired three union-represented mills from North Star. It locked out union
members at the mill in Beaumont, Texas, after the existing contract expired, and talks
failed to establish a new one. But eventually the company terminated the lockout
without agreement on a new collective bargaining arrangement. Meanwhile, labor
contracts also expired at the former North Star mills in Minnesota and Iowa, though
operations continued without a new replacement contract.47 The company succeeded
in December 2006 in achieving ratification by workers of a new contract at the wire
rod mill in Perth Amboy, New Jersey, a union shop which it had acquired when it
took over Co-Steel.48 In early 2007, workers also ratified new contract agreements
45 The development of the dispute is described in detail in ibid., “90 Days and Counting”
(May 29, 2006 print ed.), pp. 4-5. On inter-union issues, see ibid., “AEIF Blasts USW over
Call to Strike Down Tie with IAM” (June 12, 2006); “Locked-Out Union Picks IAM, But
Will AK, USW Let It Pass?” (June 16, 2006); “AK Won’t Recognize IAM Representation”
(June 21, 2006); “AK Workers Vote IAM In, But the Issues Remain the Same” (July 31,
2006; “Now It’s the IAM’s Turn To Try To Retool What’s Broken at Middletown” (July
31, 2006 print ed., p. 9); and, “AK ‘Puzzled’ by IAM Comment about Latest
Counterproposal” (December 27, 2006).
46 Ibid., “Union Ratifies New Contract to End Lock-Out by AK Steel” (March 16, 2007);
and, “After a Marathon-Long 54 Weeks, the Sun Comes Out in Middletown” (March 19,
47 Other labor contracts inherited from acquisitions of Co-Steel and Sheffield Steel of
Oklahoma are also expiring. The Gerdau Ameristeel labor situation is summarized in an
AMM interview with CEO Mario Longhi, appointed in 2006, “‘You Don’t Go Through
Transition Without Some Level of Challenge’” (May 15, 2006 print ed.), p. 13.
48 Ibid., “Union Members at Ameristeel Mill Approve Contract” (December 26, 2006).
between management and USWA representatives for the three former North Star
World Steel Output Totals
World steel output in 2006 was 1.24 billion metric tons (MT), a new all-time
record. Over the past 10 years, global steel output has increased by 65%, and since
2000, it has increased by nearly 50%. The main driver in this increase in production
has been the People’s Republic of China. It produced 419 million MT in 2006,
more than four times the total it produced in 1996, when China first became the
world output leader. During this ten-year period, China’s share of global raw steel50
production increased from 13.5% to 34%.
The European Union (EU) as a whole and Japan both produce more steel than
the United States. The EU in 2006 produced 173 million MT, more than 16% of
global steel production. The leading producer was Germany (44 milllion MT),
followed by Italy (29 million MT), France (20 million MT) and Spain (18 million
MT). Among the newer EU members from Central and Eastern Europe, Poland was
the leading producer with 10 million MT.
Japan produced 116 million MT in 2006 and the United States produced 98.6
million MT. These two countries ranked number two and three globally, behind
China. Japan’s global share was 9% and the U.S. share was 8%. As Canada and
Mexico each produced in the 15-16 million MT range, the total North American
output of 130 million MT was 10.5% of the global total.
The former Soviet Union was once a leading producer, and ahead of the United
States. In 2006, the production of Russia was 71 million MT (5.6% of world
production), and Ukraine was 41 million MT (3.3%). Together with the smaller
producers from the Commonwealth of Independent States, their share was about
10% of global steel production. Other major producers in a second tier include
South Korea, India, Brazil, Turkey, and Taiwan, all in a 20-50 million MT annual
U.S. Import Patterns
The pattern of U.S. imports underwent a significant change in 2006, as total
steel imports increased dramatically. During the period of the Bush safeguards,
Canada and Mexico became the top two suppliers to the U.S. market. By 2005, the
United States imported more than 9 million MT from its NAFTA partners, compared
to about 5 million MT from all western Europe, traditionally the number-one source.
A third western hemisphere producer, Brazil, became the third-largest national
49 Ibid., “Workers Ratify New Pacts at Ameristeel Mills” (March 9, 2007).
50 Data from International Iron and Steel Institute (IISI), as reported and analyzed by
Purchasing Magazine Online (February 15, 2007). A later IISI report gives Chinese
production for 2006 as 422.7m. MT.
51 IISI. World Steel in Figures, “Major Steel Producing Countries, 2005 and 2006.”
source, at 2.3 million MT in 2005. Imports from China grew to almost 2.2 million
MT, Russia and Germany were about 1.4 million MT each, with Japan, Korea, and
Turkey (about 1.2 million MT each) the other sources over a million tonnes.
There was a major rearrangement of rankings in 2006. The expanded European
Union was the top source of steel imports, with 5.7 million MT (but with a total of
Canada remained the leading national supplier, but its shipments to the U.S. market
were flat compared to the previous year at about 5.4 million MT. Imports from
Mexico were down by 11.5% and fell behind the total from China, which became the
second-largest import source, as shipments more than doubled to 4.9 million MT.
Imports from Russia grew even faster, to about the same total as Mexico. Brazil’s
exports to the United States in 2006 increased by 12% to 2.6 million MT, being
restrained by a major mill outage. Turkey, Korea and Japan all saw substantial gains
in the U.S. market, with shipments in 2006 rising to about two million MT or more
each. Imports from Canada and, especially, China, both increased in the first half of
Steel Price Trends and Developments
Steel Prices Remain at a High Plateau
Notwithstanding the removal of President Bush’s steel safeguards, which had
been heavily criticized by many steel-consuming industries and their representatives
in Congress, the price of steel moved up, not down, after the President’s action.
Most economists would expect that, everything being equal, removal of the safeguard
tariffs would encourage importation of steel into the domestic market, more
competition with domestic steel producers, and, consequently, lower prices. But
instead the price of steel in early 2004 rose sharply, and has stayed at a much higher
level than it was before the initial presidential safeguard action of 2002.
A few months before the imposition of the Bush safeguardsin March 2002, the
price of hot-rolled carbon steel, a benchmark industrial product, fell as low as $222
per ton. During the period that the safeguards were in effect, average steel prices
were generally just above or below $300 per ton. By September 2004, nine months
after termination of the safeguards, the average spot price of this product was $700-
generally negotiate longer-term contract prices, which may be significantly lower.53
52 Data on steel prices before, during and after the Bush safeguards are taken from ITC.
Steel: Monitoring Developments in the Domestic Industry (Investigation no. TA-204-9) and
Steel-Consuming Industries: Competitive Conditions with Respect to Steel Safeguard
Measures (Investigation no. 332-452), issued together as Publication no. 3632, Vol. 1, Table
II-27; Global Insight. Steel Monthly Report, various issues; and, specifically on the
September 2004 peak price, AMM, “‘Let’s Take It Slow ...’” (May 9, 2005).
53 This system is described in Al Wrigley, “Car Talk: Wheeling and Dealing Steel in
Detroit,” AMM, December23, 2002 print ed., p. 3. It is also summarized in Brian C. Becker
Thus, the steel users most immediately and adversely affected by high steel prices
were small and medium-sized companies that bought steel on the spot market.54
The data in Table 2 indicate that while the price of all steel products has risen
since 2001-02, there are considerable variations, depending in part on demand
patterns in consuming industries. For example, some products widely used in the
automotive industry peaked in 2004, fell back in 2005, and increased again in 2006,
but fell again in 2007, in the face of major auto industry production cuts. This
pattern is exhibited, for example, by hot-rolled and cold-rolled sheet steel, and by
hot-rolled carbon “special bar quality” (SBQ) steel. Cold-rolled sheet, used for auto
exteriors, was down by $65 per ton in 2007, and SBQ bars, widely used for auto
structural parts, was down by more than $125. Prices for products used heavily in
non-residential construction rose or fell by a much smaller amount. The price of
concrete reinforcing bar increased in 2007 over 2006. Plate, normally less expensive
than sheet steel, remained more expensive in late 2007, though down from its 2006
peak. Industrial quality rod, widely used in capital goods industries, stayed as high,
or higher, in 2007 as in 2006.
There are also considerable variations in the overall rates of price increases.
Cold-rolled stainless sheet steel (grade 304) increased almost four times in price,
from the average low of $1,295 per ton in 2003 to $4,742 in late 2007. Steel plate,
a product used in much greater volume, increased almost as rapidly, rising more than
three times in value from its 2001 lows to 2007. On the other hand, oil country
tubular goods have only risen by an average of only 40-60% from their lowest
average values (in 2003) to the 2007 level. Prices have fallen in late 2007, after an
ITC ruling revoked trade remedy duties that had been placed on imports (see below).
Cold-rolled and hot-rolled sheet in 2007 were only about double the 2001 low prices,
compared to the higher rate of increase for plate steel.
and Kevin Hassett, The Steel Industry: An Automotive Supplier Perspective (February 2005,
funded by the Motor & Equipment Manufacturers Assn.), p. 13.
54 See U.S. House. Committee on Small Business. Spike in Metal Prices — What Does it
Mean for Small Manufacturers? Hearings, March 10 and 25, 2004.
Table 2. Steel Price Series, 2001-2007
ProductsAverage Annual Price Per Short Ton ($)
HR Carbon Steel - SBQ 1000340353372546719838710
Cold-Fin. Carbon Steel 1018455465503773899880910
Merchant Angles (2”x2”x1/4”)288252306482520582677
Low-Carbon Industrial Quality310317323568583592590
High-Carbon Industrial Quality330330333599605618670
OCTGb Carbon, Welded8808117881130134513681270
OCTG Carbon, Seamless10099268841228153415671454
OCTG N80, Welded10719999981341161417351491
OCTG N80, Seamless1163109210721422176418691549
Cold-Rolled Sheet 3041376130112951734251532874742
Source: Annual price data from AMM historical steel base price series, and 2007 data as reported in
AMM.com (Oct. 26, 2007). Except for OCTG, prices converted from cwt. to per ton basis by CRS and
rounded to nearest dollar. Selected categories based on those used in Global Insight, Steel Monthly
Report price forecasts.
a. Latest 2007 avg. data.
b. Oil Country Tubular Goods.
While the price of steel has risen all over the world since 2000, price changes
have moderated in recent years, with a tendency to converge across regions.
Comparisons are based on “SteelBenchmarker,” a historical series provided by
American Metal Market and the consulting firm World Steel Dynamics. Their data
show that the relative U.S. price of hot-rolled steel, compared with other major
markets, dramatically changed in 2002-2004. It went from lower than European and
Chinese prices in 2002-03 to higher than European and world export prices, and
double the Chinese price, for much of 2004. There was a sharp, brief fall in the U.S.
price in late 2004, but then it recovered to run higher than other market prices for
2005 and the first half of 2006. With the weakening of the dollar exchange rate and
stronger economic demand in Europe, the price of European hot-rolled steel rose by
late 2007 to $672 per metric ton (MT), while compared to a U.S. price of $577. The
latter figure was about the same as the reported world export price, helping to explain
a decline of U.S. import tonnage in 2007 from the 2006 record level. As John Anton
wrote for the economics consulting firm Global Insight, “In a real sense, the United
States and the Eurozone have switched places as far as prices and imports are
concerned.”55 The Chinese price remained far below the U.S. price, but at $470 per
MT in mid-2007, the gap was only about one-third that seen in 2004-05.56
The continued high price of steel, as well as its volatility in some recent years,
has led to suggestions that steel consumers might be able to hedge against price
changes, futures contracts were traded in global commodity markets, as in the
example of other metals. There is a counter argument that the chemistry and other
specifications of steel supplied under contract are so precise, that it is impossible to
consider it as a commodity item. Nevertheless, the board of the New York Metal
Exchange (Nymex) in October 2007, reportedly approved launching futures contracts
on hot-rolled steel, sold in units of 20 short tons, with prices settled on the basis of
those reported in the “SteelBenchmarker.” Internationally, the Dubai commodities
exchange is reported to be about to introduce a rebar futures contract, and the London
Metal Exchange to introduce a steel billets contract for trade in the Asian and
Steel Input Costs
From the perspective of the steel industry, a substantial and at least semi-
permanent rise in the price of steel has been justified by the rapid rise in the price of
many steelmaking inputs.
Steel Scrap. Initially, the rapid rise in steel prices in 2003 was especially
linked to a rapid rise in scrap prices. This especially affected the minimill sector,
because scrap is the major input in U.S. electric arc furnaces, the production
technology they use. By 2002, total U.S. EAF production had overtaken the output
of basic oxygen furnaces, the steelmaking technology of integrated mills that produce
55 Global Insight. Steel Monthly Report (September 2007), p. 6.
56 See “SteelBenchmarker” chart in AMM, “Hot Band Rise in World Export Market Bucks
Regional Trend” (October 25, 2007).
57 Ibid., “Nymex’s Board Gives Final Approval to Steel Contract” (October 24, 2007).
raw steel from iron ore, coke and other materials. While scrap is usually the principal
input in minimill furnaces, it is also frequently added to iron in making steel at
integrated mills (up to 25-30%). Scrap enables EAFs to produce a more
competitively priced product, especially where absolute purity of the steel is not a
prerequisite. Thus, all parts of the industry are affected by changes in the scrap price,
though the minimills more than the BOFs. Since minimills are the low-cost
producers of many steel mill products, a less competitive minimill price enables the
integrated mills to raise their prices as well in a tight market.
The price of ferrous scrap tripled or even quadrupled in 2002-04, and has been
highly volatile in the period since then. During some recent periods, the price of
scrap has been higher than the price of finished steel in 2001-03.
In early 2002, the price of scrap was about $65 per ton, the composite price for
“number 1 heavy melt scrap,” a common commercial category, as reported by
American Metal Market. The price reached a plateau of about $100 from mid-2002
through mid-2003. Then the price rise accelerated to $160 by the end of 2003, and
climbed more steeply to an average of more than $237 by early March 2004. More
premium grades commanded higher prices, up to reports of more than $300 per ton.
At three different times during 2004 (March, August and November), the price of this
benchmark category of scrap peaked near or above $250. In 2005, at three different
times during that year the price of scrap again peaked at more than $220 per ton, but
at one point it also fell to about $120. In 2006, the price peaked once more above
$250, but was generally more stable. However, in March 2007, it skied to more than
$300 per ton, with better grades even higher, and it stayed above $240 through
Many in the industry ascribed the rising price and reduced availability of
domestic steel primarily to the rise in scrap prices, driven in turn by rising global
demand, especially in China. For example, one witness at a House hearing linked the
rise in scrap prices to a doubling of U.S. ferrous scrap exports, from 6 million tons
in 2000 to 12 million tons in 2003. About half of the exports in the latter year went
to just two Asian countries: China, and South Korea, whose steel exports increased
because of demand in China.59 Concerned that rising metal scrap exports were
driving up domestic prices and aiding their foreign competitors, U.S. metals-
consuming industries unsuccessfully petitioned to restrict non-ferrous metal exports.
Steel users also considered such a request.60 No petition was ever filed, however, for
58 See charts in AMM, February 7 and May 9, 2005 print eds., both on p. 15; January 9, 2006
print ed., p. 11; June 5, 2006 print ed., p. 14; August 28, 2006 print ed., p. 11 and, December
59 House Small Business Comm. Hearing (March 10, 2004). Statement of Robert J. Stevens
(Impact Forge Inc. and President, Emergency Steel Scrap Coalition).
60 On export controls on both ferrous and non-ferrous scrap, see AMM, “Short Supplies,
Export Angst” (February 23, 2004 print ed.), p. 2; “Scrap Wars Create Turmoil, Skepticism”
(March 3, 2004); and, “Commerce Nixes Copper’s Plea to Cap Scrap Exports” (July 22,
short supply controls on steel scrap exports, nor was any legislation introduced to
restrict such exports.
U.S. ferrous scrap exports have remained high. According to Commerce
Department data, they were 11.7 million MT in 2004 and 12.4 million MT in 2005.
China in those years took nearly 30% of the total, and was still the leading
destination, but Korea fell behind Canada, Mexico, and Turkey.61 In 2006, total
ferrous scrap exports remained at the 12.4 million MT level, but exports to China fell
by a quarter, and exports to Turkey were almost equal — 2.7 million MT to China,
2.5 million MT to Turkey. In the first half of 2007, Chinese imports of U.S.-origin
ferrous scrap again declined compared to the same period in 2006, but overall scrap
exports were up 36%. Turkey imported U.S. ferrous scrap at an annual rate of more
than 3.5 million MT, and was the leading destination.62
Among other major exporters of scrap, Ukraine and Russia have restrictions
on ferrous scrap exports, which serve to maintain a scrap supply for their domestic
steel industries. The United States is a major net scrap exporter, and does not import
large amounts from these countries, but their exports are important in terms of the
overall global supply. For example, restrictions on scrap exports from the two
countries may help explain the increased interest of the Turkish steel industry in
importing scrap from the United States.
U.S. negotiators sought to eliminate scrap export restrictions as part of
negotiations with the Ukrainian government to establish bilateral permanent normal
trade relations (PNTR) and in negotiations related to U.S. acceptance of Ukraine’s
accession to the WTO. On March 6, 2006, U.S. and Ukrainian representatives signed
a WTO accession agreement. On March 23, 2006, President Bush, following
approval by Congress, signed into law a measure to establish PNTR with Ukraine
(P.L. 109-205).63 Ukraine had already passed legislation to cut its ferrous scrap
export tax in half to about $18/MT by the end of 2006. In the negotiations with the
United States, Ukraine agreed to reduce the ferrous scrap export tax further to one-
third of the previous level. Further reductions or elimination of the tax were made
in negotiations with other WTO members.64
61 AMM, “U.S. Scrap Exports a Two-Sided Affair” (February 15, 2006), incl. table.
62 2006 data from unpublished AMM tables reporting revised Commerce Dept. data. Data
for January-April 2007 from AMM, “US Exports of Ferrous Scrap by Destination” (June 13,
63 See CRS Report RS2114, Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) Trade Status for
Ukraine and U.S.-Ukrainian Economic Ties, by William H. Cooper. This report notes that
in 2005, “over half of U.S. imports from Ukraine consisted of steel plus coke that is used
in making steel.” A key U.S. policy change, sought by Ukraine and granted in February
2006 by the Commerce Dept., was change in Ukraine’s designation from a “non-market” to
a “market” economy. Domestic steel industry associations opposed this policy change,
which they said will make it much more difficult to win antidumping cases against
Ukrainian exporters; AMM, “Ukraine Still Playing Under Old Rules Despite New Trade
Status” (March 27, 2006 print ed.), p. 2.
64 Ibid., “Ukraine OK of Export Duty Cut Stokes Fears of Scrap Shortages,” (November 21,
Russia also agreed to include export taxes and restrictions on scrap exports as
part of its WTO accession negotiations. It accepted in the final bilateral agreement
of November 2006 that it would reduce export duties on ferrous scrap to one-third
of current levels over a five-year period following WTO accession.65
While the steel industry claims that it uses the world’s most recycled material,
reports are that the rate of recycling declined significantly in 2006. The officially
reported rate by the Steel Recycling Institute (SRI) for 2006 was 68.7%, down from
75.7% in the previous year. SRI attributed the decline in recycling to the rising
global demand for and production of steel. Its president stated that as demand
increased, more readily available supplies of scrap in urban areas were being used up,
and recyclers were having to dig into reserve supplies farther out into the
Rise in the Price of Iron Ore. High iron ore costs have the greatest impact
on the integrated steel industry, which must make steel from some form of iron ore.
But it also impacts the minimills, which generally must use at least small amounts
of pig iron or other iron units for purity. They have been seeking cheaper sources of
iron units, also as an alternative to high-priced scrap.
In February 2005, when the major global steel making companies arranged their
supply contracts for the coming year, Nippon Steel agreed to an unprecedented
71.5% price increase with the large Brazilian iron mining company, CVRD. This
deal set the pattern for international iron ore purchases by other integrated steel
companies, and compares with the previous high one-year price increase of less than
20% in 1980.67 In 2006 CVRD negotiated a further 19% iron ore price increase with
major European and Asian producers. After protracted negotiations with the major
iron ore producers, Chinese steelmakers also accepted the same level of prices68
increase for 2006. In late 2006 the Chinese steelmaker Shanghai Baosteel initiated
Office of U.S. Trade Representative. Business Week, in its issue of September 3, 2007,
reported that, despite an ongoing political crisis, the Ukraine parliament in July 2007
“approved laws that lowered export taxes on metals [that] ... should help pave the way for
Ukraine’s entry” into the WTO by 2008 (p. 51).
65 Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR). Trade Facts, “Results of Bilateral
Negotiations on Russia’s Accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO): Non-
Agricultural Goods Market Access” (November 19, 2006), p. 2.
66 AMM, “Steel Recycling Rate Falls to 68.7% in ‘06: SRI” (August 24, 2007), p. 6.
67 AMM, “CVRD Wins 71.5% Increase in Japanese Iron Ore Deal — Asian Steelmakers
Gird for Domino Effect” (February 23, 2005), p. 1.
68 CVRD did, however, agree to a 3% reduction in the price of iron ore pellets. AMM,
“CVRD Deals Call for 19% Hike in Iron Ore Fines” (May 19, 2006), and “ CVRD Seals
Iron Ore Supply Deals with Arcelor, China Steel [Taiwan]” (May 25, 2006); Wall St.
Journal, “China’s Steelmakers Hold Out as Suppliers Set Pricing Deals” (May 19, 2006),
p. B4; and, “Steel Prices Are Likely to Jump, Adding to Manufacturers’ Woes” (May 24,
price negotiations with CVRD on behalf of the Chinese steel industry for the next
year’s price level. The result was a further 9.5% price increase for iron ore, which
set the standard for the world level, since China imports 40% of all internationally
traded iron ore.69
Domestic U.S. iron ore production, which is in the form of taconite that is
subsequently pelletized, increased in 2004-05. It is not directly affected by the global
increase in iron price. After averaging less than 50 million MT in 2001-03,
production was 54.7 million MT in 2004, 54.5 million MT in 2005, and 52.9 million
MT in 2006. But these annual levels were still much less than the recent peak of
more than 63 million MT in 2000. Most iron ore used by the U.S. steel industry is
domestically produced. Exports and imports in 2005-06 were close to level, with
imports slightly higher. Exports were 8.3 million MT in 2006, with 11.5 million MT
imported. Canada and Brazil are by far the leading suppliers of imported ores and
pellets.70 U.S. steelmakers are not insulated from the high global price of iron ore,
which doubled in price from $26 per ton in 2002 to $52 in 2006, according to the
U.S. Geological Survey.71 According to a press report, the typical price in mid-2007
was $60 per ton.72
Minimills frequently use direct-reduced iron (DRI), a product that converts raw
iron ore into units that may be substituted for scrap. However, this product requires
large amounts of natural gas, and the rise in price of this input has led to the three
DRI plants in the United States being dismantled to be reassembled and put into
production in Trinidad and Saudi Arabia. A new coal-fired plant is being built in the
Minnesota iron range, as noted earlier. This development indicates renewed interest
in this historically important producing region.73
The Cost and Supply of Coke. Coking coal has been in relatively short
supply, both domestically and internationally. According to the Department of
Energy, U.S. domestic production of coke, derived from a grade known as
metallurgical coal and used almost exclusively in blast furnaces by integrated steel
mills, was 22 million tons in 1997. It was more than 20 million tons annually from
69 Wall St. Journal, “China Steelmakers Agree to Ore Deal; Likely Benchmark” (December
70 Iron ore data from Dept. of the Interior. U.S. Geological Survey. Mineral Commodity
Summaries, 2004 and 2006; and, January 2007 Monthly Report.
71 Ibid., p. 82.
72 Wall St. Journal, “Ship Shortage Pushes Up Prices of Raw Materials” (October 22, 2007),
73 AMM, “The Sourcing Game,” and “In Alternative Iron, Finding the Right Fit May Mean
Moving the Plant” (May 15, 2006 print ed.), pp. 4-7. Transportation costs and problems,
particularly a shortage of rail cars, have also contributed to raw material sourcing problems
for the steel industry.
It remained below 17 million tons annually in 2004-06.74 With China as the key
source of coke on the world market, and China’s own domestic demand growing,
availability has been squeezed, and the price has risen. The consequence in recent
years has been volatility in both the price and availability of coke.
These problems were exacerbated by a mine fire and an interruption in coke
supplies from U.S. Steel, a major coke producer, to other steelmakers in 2003-04.
This created a shock wave through the integrated steel industry. According to one
industry source, the cost of coke rose from $145/ton to $250/ton between November
2003 and early 2004.75 With the recovery in domestic steel demand, imports had to
make up the gap. They more than doubled, from 2.8 million tons in 2003 to 6.9
million tons in 2004, then leveled off to 3.5-4.0 million tons annually after integrated
steel production declined somewhat and domestic coke sources came back on line in
2005.76 Full supplies have been subsequently resumed for U.S. Steel, but the
company has declared itself out of the merchant coke market. Existing coke plants
are being reopened or modernized, and some new ones are being developed, although
in the latter case coke plants sometimes engender opposition on environmental
China is the world’s leading supplier of coke in international trade, and the
United States has been the number-two importer, behind the European Union (EU).78
As more Chinese coke output is being used in domestic steel production, export
growth flattened.79 A witness before the House Small Business Committee noted that
the Chinese coke export price had risen from $55 per ton to between $200-300 per
74 U.S. Dept. of Energy. Energy Information Administration (EIA). “Coke Overview, 1949-
75 Scott Robertson, “For Some Steelmakers, a Lump of Coal Would be a Welcome Gift,”
AMM print ed. (March 15, 2004), p. 3. The information on the price rise is from industry
consultant Charles Bradford, in Tom Balcerek, “Back Behind the Wheel,” AMM print ed.
(February 9, 2004), p. 6. The thrust of the article, however, is that higher scrap prices have
made the integrated industry overall more competitive against minimills.
76 EIA. “Quarterly Coal Rept.” (January-March 2007), table 2.
77 Weirton Steel, once a purchaser of coke from U.S. Steel, has ceased to produce raw steel
since its acquisition by Mittal. Another former U.S. Steel customer, Wheeling-Pittsburgh
has been rebuilding and modernizing its coke plant in Follansbee, WV, but the process has
been more difficult and costly than originally planned. AMM.com: “More Demand Attracts
More Supply?” (July 23, 2004); “Wheeling-Pitt Mulling Post-BF Coke Strategy” (August
“Construction of Ohio Coke Plant May Start Soon” (January 2, 2006), p. 1, and, “Things
Aren’t Quite Going to Plan with W-P’s Oven Rehab” (May 15, 2006 print ed.), p. 8. Plans
for other coke plants are affected by environmental issues; ibid., “Sun Drops Coke Plant
Plan; Others Still in Works for Now” (November 9, 2006); and, “Proposed Ohio Coke Plant
Hits Another Snag” (June 8, 2007), p. 6.
78 AMM.com, “Mills Face Coke Quandary as Chinese Prices Soar” (May 16, 2003).
79 A Chinese official stated that, “China would limit coal exports in 2004 to meet the
increasing domestic demand;” “China Coal Policy,” China Business News On-Line (January
29, 2004); also; “China Coke Exports Seen Even Lower,” Platts International Coal Report
(December 8, 2003).
ton by early 2004, and that in February 2004, China was actually a net importer of
coking coal versus typical net exports of 1 million tons per month.80
As a consequence, China sought to tighten its allocation system, and to
substantially reduce exports by reducing export quotas and raising the price of export
licenses. The EU brought a World Trade Organization case against China, which
then agreed that the amount of coal exported to the EU would not decline in 2004.81
China also maintained this level of exports in 2005, but the EU has argued that such
temporary amelioration does not resolve the complaint. “They are under an
obligation to remove restrictions on the export of coke for steelmaking,” according
to EU external trade commissioner Peter Mandelson.82 Chinese coke prices dropped
from a short-lived peak of more than $400 per MT in 2004, to less than $150 in late
In contrast to the situation in 2003-04, “massive investment” in Chinese coke
resources had created a surplus of supply over demand. U.S. prices fell below $140
by the end of 2005.83 In early 2007, average receipts at U.S. coke plants were
reported to be less than $100 per ton by the Energy Department.84
But trends reversed again later in the year. In August 2007, Warren
Consolidated Industries of Ohio, the smallest U.S. integrated steel operation and one
wholly dependent on the merchant coke market, predicted that a sharp rise in coke
prices of “$55-70 per ton” in the second half of 2007 would have seriously adverse
operational cost consequences for a company already losing money.85 Industry
analysts reported September 2007 coke prices in China of $325 per ton, which would
translate to $450, when delivered to the U.S. market, owing to high costs of shipping
(see below). By contrast, the cost of making coke domestically was $250 pere ton,
which, according to an analyst, is “... why all these companies are scrambling to
become self-sufficient.” U.S. merchant coke producers were also scrambling to get
on the bandwagon. For example, the International Coal Group, acompany controlled
by Wilbur Ross, that produced only 100,000 tons of metallurgical coal in 2006,
planned to increase output to 2.4 million tons by 2009.86
The Price of Natural Gas. Natural gas is widely used in the steel industry,
by both integrated mills and minimills. Steel must be heated and cooled frequently
80 House Small Business Committee hearing (March 10, 2004), statement of W. Atwell, p.
81 Europe Energy 2004, “EU and China End Their Coke Trade Battle” (June 4, 2004);
interview with Jean Kemp, Director for Steel, Office of U.S. Trade Representative (January
82 AMM, “EU Presses China to Change Coke Export Rules” (November 9, 2005), p. 4.
83 AMM, “A Cool Down in Coke Prices” (November 7, 2005), pp. 4-5.
84 EIA. “Quarterly Coal Report” (January-March 2007), table 23.
85 AMM, “WCI Facing Difficult 2d Half But Planning a Turnaround” (August 10, 2007).
86 Ibid., “Coke Prices Said Set to Jump Near ‘04 Record Pace;” and, “ Higher Prices, Strong
Demand Spur Met Coal Production Hike” (October 11, 2007), p. 8.
in the course of melting or remelting materials, as well as shaping and tempering
steel mill products. Among all steelmaking inputs, perhaps none has risen higher in
price recent years than gas. As of November, 2005, the benchmark Henry Hub cash
price of natural gas, at $13.83 per million BTUs, was more than double the level of
one year earlier. On comparative indices of input costs, natural gas in late 2005 was
nearly five times its long-term benchmark level and more than double the level of
one year earlier. Scrap was about double its benchmark, while coal was still within
about 15% of its benchmark.87
Gas prices have ameliorated since then. The late 2005 spike was partly caused
by Gulf “shut in” production, resulting from hurricanes Ivan (2004), Katrina, and
Rita (both 2005). With a mild winter, prices dropped more than $2/mmBTU in
January-February, and settled at just over $7/mmBTU in March-May 2006.88
Despite concern regarding winter demand in 2006-07, the average spot price did not
again reach a level close to $10 during that period. Prices are holding steady for
2007, although the consulting firm Global Insight predicted that at $8-9 per million
BTUs, 2007-08 winter gas prices would be somewhat higher than year-earlier
Shipping Costs. Both rail and ocean shipping costs have increased
substantially in recent years, though these rising costs have affected the steel industry
in different ways. Rail transportation costs, seen as railways have consolidated and
created more “capitive shippers,” have had a negative effect on industry, particularly
in raising the costs and reducing the options for shipping inputs like scrap and
delivering finished product to customers. According to the Government
Accountability Office (GAO), while rail rates have declined over the long term, they90
increased by 9% in 2005, basically for all products across the board. The steel
industry specifically reported increases of around a third in rail costs since 2003, and
in some cases as high as 60%. “Transportation costs have escalated to the point that
they now account for 15-20% of the total cost of producing steel.”91
On the other hand, the high increase in ocean shipping rates has not been
unfavorable from the perspective of U.S. steelmakers. According to the Wall Street
Journal, the average price of renting a ship in October 2007 to carry raw materials
87 Gas price statistics from Global Insight, Steel Monthly Report (November 2005), tab. 1;
and, Natural Gas Weekly (January 11, 2006).
88 Global Insight. Steel Monthly Report (March 2006), p. 8; and Natural Gas Monthly (May
89 Ibid. (September 2007), p. 2.
90 U.S. Government Accounting Office. Freight Railroads: Updated Information on Rates
and Other Industry Trends (GAO-08-218T), Testimony before U.S. Senate. Committee on
Commerce, Science and Transportation. Subcommittee on Surface Transportation and
Merchant Marine (October 23, 2007), p. 1.
91 Thomas A. Danjczek, Steel Manufacturers Assn. Statement, U.S. House. Transportation
and Infrastructure Committee (September 20, 2007), p. 2. For more details on the rail
competition issue, see CRS Rept. CRS Report RL34117, Rail Access and Competition
Issues, by John Frittelli.
from Brazil to China has tripled to $180,000 per day over the cost one year earlier.
That means the cost per ton of shipping iron ore works out at about $88 per ton, or
higher than the $60 per ton price of the ore itself.92 The Global Insight analyst finds
that this means higher prices for steel imports, as well as a discouragement to the
export of ferrous scrap to competing steel producing nations. With relative prices in
the United States falling compared to those of other global producers, “When lead-
time risks and the explosion in sea-borne freight rates are incorporated, the advantage
in [steel] imports is minimized or even negated.” This source notes that investment
in ocean shipping, iron ore mines and coke ovens globally should eventually reduce
such domestic price advantages, but all this will take time to come on stream.93
The Impact of the Growth of China
While U.S. domestic demand and input cost factors have helped account for an
overall increase in the price of steel in the domestic market, China’s emergence as
a major, market-oriented economic power is having more of an impact on steel
markets and prices than anything else today. Chinese steel mainly goes to its
domestic market. What has concerned the U.S. steel industry is that, as China adds
new and modernized steel capacity, it will be used increasingly to export surplus steel
as domestic demand is adequately met. Moreover, the steel industry and its
customers have alleged that Chinese steel and steel product exports are unfairly
subsidized. On February 2, 2007, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative
(USTR) filed a complaint at the WTO against China regarding this general issue.
The Chinese government has responded by some reductions of measures that
encourage steel exports. More broadly it has also taken limited steps to allow its
currency to rise against the dollar on foreign exchange markets, which makes
Chinese products less competitive against U.S.-produced goods. But the steps taken
to date have not been sufficient to satisfy the domestic U.S. steel industry, the Bush
Administration, nor critics of China in Congress.
China as a Steel Producer, Consumer, and Exporter. China has
become the world’s largest steel producer, as discussed in the earlier section on world
output. At the same time, in the years after 2000, it briefly became the largest
importer. It absorbed increasing amounts of the world supply of scrap and other
inputs, while its demand drove the global price of steel higher, notably in 2004.
China’s rapidly growing appetite for steel also drew in high levels of imports from
other major Asian producers such as Japan, Korea and Taiwan, probably diverting
them from the U.S. market. The consequences were higher prices for steelmaking
inputs in the United States and lower availability of imported finished steel at
competitive prices. Meanwhile, U.S. steel consuming industries increasingly must
compete with fabricated steel products from Chinese suppliers.
The Chinese government in 2004 sought to restrain growth by curtailing
consumer credit, thus reducing the growth in demand for products made of steel, such
92 Wall St. Journal, “Ship Shortage ...”
93 Global Insight. Steel Monthly Report (September 2007), p. 2.
as motor vehicles. It has also sought to brake the development of capacity, or at least
to insure that new, modern facilities replace outdated mills. But, as Global Insight
analyst John Anton noted, if this were the Chinese central government’s policy, it did
Chinese steel production has grown at incredible rates, rising 14% in 2001 and
nearly 25% annually since. In context, China and the United States produced
roughly the same tonnage in 2000, but China is likely to produce almost three94
times the U.S. output in 2005.
China once more became a net steel exporter in 2005: 27.6 million MT of
exports, against 27.1 million MT of imports, according to official sources.95 China
also fell behind the United States in total steel imports. In March 2006 a top official
of the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA), an industry body, reassured an
international audience that Chinese steel exports would be about 20 million MT in
2006. This was described by him as a “ reasonable” level, given total capacity of
more than 400 million MT, and he also stated that capacity would be nearly matched
with domestic demand.96 Some private sector sources said that while China still has
significant labor cost advantages, these are counterbalanced by raw material and
energy costs, as both are in short supply in China.97
Despite such assurances and statements, China’s total steel exports in 200698
reportedly more than doubled to 57.4 million MT, while imports fell by a quarter.
According to the U.S. industry, China was a net steel exporter of 33 million MT in99
2006. Moreover, in the first half of 2007, official Chinese data indicated that
exports of finished steel from China virtually doubled over the rate for the same
period in 2006. Some of this increase, however, may be attributable to Chinese
producers seeking to beat government measures to discourage steel exports, which100
are described below.
The International Iron and Steel Institute, representing steel producers globally,
has estimated that the rate of growth of Chinese demand for steel will slow in
forthcoming years. Nevertheless, it may still account for more than half of the
anticipated world growth in steel consumption between 2005 and 2015.101 But an
94 Global Insight, Steel Monthly Report (November 2005), p. 1. According to IISI figures
cited earlier, China in 2005 actually produced four times as much steel as the U.S.
95 Reported in AMM, “December Increase Makes China Slight Net Exporter of Steel in ‘05”
(January 13, 2006), p. 7.
96 Ibid., “China’s Steel Exports Will Not Explode in ‘06: CISA Official” (March 29, 2006).
97 Ibid., “Is the China Threat Overstated?” (May 8, 2006 print ed.), p. 14.
98 Ibid., “China’s Finished Steel Exports Up” (January 11, 2007), p. 6.
99 AISI, SMA, and Specialty Steel Institute of North America. “American Steel Industry
Comments on Chinese Steel Paper,” press release (June 1, 2007).
100 AMM, “Finished Steel Exports Soar 98% in First Half” (July 11, 2007), p. 13.
101 Hans Mueller, “IISI Sees Global Expansion Until 2015,” Metal Producing and
analysis produced in May 2007 by a Chinese metals industry organization
emphasized that China has no intention of creating an export-oriented steel industry.
It acknowledged a temporary situation of domestic overcapacity, as government
measures took effect to close old capacity, and to rationalize and modernize the
industry. It further noted measures (summarized in this CRS report below) that the
government was taking to curtail disruptive exports. But the report also noted that
the growth in Chinese demand for and production of steel has coincided with a
resurgence of the industry worldwide, so it argued that the net effect has not been to
harm other countries’ producers.102
Figure 3, based on data presented by industry analyst Charles Bradford to the
Steel Manufacturers Association in May 2007, shows that the Chinese steel industry,
along with that of the United States, is actually one of the two major national
producers least dependent on exports. In the case of China, 2006 exports were only
11% of output, in Bradford’s calculations, while the U.S. figure was just less than
exported a third or more of production. Canada, Brazil and Russia exported half or
more of their output, Germany two-thirds, and Ukraine nearly 90%. But the problem
is that with China accounting for such a huge share of global output, marginal shifts
by its industry in the direction of increased exports lead to major market disruptions103
for other suppliers.
Processing (November-December 2006), pp. 15-16.
102 China Chamber of Commerce of Metals, Minerals and Chemicals Importers & Exporters
(CCCMC). China’s Steel Industry: Dealing with Growth, Consolidation and Rationalization
103 Leading representatives of the U.S. steel industry are skeptical as to whether a Chinese
promise to limit exports to 10% of production can resolve this issue, or will ever be
implemented; AMM, “US Industry Doubtful of China Pledge on Steel Export Limits” (June
Figure 3. Steel Exports by Country
As a Percent of Total Output 2006
35.6% 33.1%40 .5%40%Per
( Taiw an) Ko r e a
Source: Bradford Research Inc. and International Iron and Steel Institute.
The concern of U.S. producers is that whenever domestic Chinese demand falls
short of expectations, the U.S. market will see a sharp increase in steel imports from
China. For example, by 2000, China was exporting more than one million MT of
steel annually to the United States. These exports fell off to 582,000 MT in 2003, as
U.S. demand declined and trade safeguards were implemented. But Chinese imports
in the United States almost tripled to more than 1.4 million MT in 2004, increased
again by a third to 1.9 million MT in 2005, and more than doubled again in 2006, as
discussed above. Data for 2006 seem to indicate that, while steel demand in China
is continuing to increase, it is not keeping pace with the building of new, modern104
steelmaking capacity, and Chinese exports are likely to grow. While the Chinese
central government may be committed to eliminating old capacity, consolidated,
internationally competitive Chinese producers may be even more of a problem for the
U.S. industry in an open market environment.
China’s Proposed Steel Industry Restructuring. In July 2005, the
Chinese government released the China Iron and Steel Industry Development Policy,
prepared by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC).
According to official sources, this policy is to consolidate and modernize the
industry, with a specific goal of “strategic reorganization” to create by 2010 two 30-
million-ton annual capacity producers and several “internationally competitive”
companies at the 10-million-ton level. In a joint statement to the WTO Transitional
Review Mechanism on China’s accession, the United States, Canada and Mexico in
October 2005, “agreed with the goal of an efficient, rationalized steel industry” in
China, but seriously questioned the methods envisioned in the proposed new policy.
104 Ibid. “China Is Awash in Steel and Racing to Exploit a Price Advantage” (June 19, 2006
print ed.), pp. 6-7.
!First, they questioned how a state policy with an explicit goal to
shape a specific market outcome would work without “government
making decisions that should be made by the marketplace.”
Specifically they questioned the role that state-owned banks would
have in restructuring the steel industry, the roles of administrative
agencies, and how conflicts between central, provincial and local
governments would be resolved.
!Second, they noted that two articles on the state’s role in
implementing policy were questionable under WTO anti-subsidy
rules. Article 16 of the Chinese policy provided for various types of
state support in developing and modernizing the industry. Article 18
“encouraged” the Chinese steel industry to use domestically
produced equipment, and to import equipment only if domestically
made equipment were insufficiently advanced, unavailable or in
The U.S. government included these concerns in direct bilateral discussions with
China on steel policy. In December 2005, the Bush Administration declined to
provide safeguard relief for the domestic steel pipe industry against Chinese imports
(see below). But at that time it did propose to the Chinese a dialogue on steel policy,
within the context of the U.S.-China Joint Commission on Commerce and Trade. In
including preferences for domestically produced equipment and technologies, import
and export controls, controls on foreign investment, and “de facto” technology
transfer requirements. “More generally,” U.S. representatives expressed concern
with the entire approach of the policy, in substituting government decision making
for market forces, in direct contrast to Chinese commitments at the time when they
joined the WTO.106
The American steel industry similarly expressed concern with government
interference in the Chinese steel industry. A July 2006 report sponsored by all the
major U.S. steel producer organizations claimed that Chinese steelmakers are
unfairly aided by a wide range of government measures. Entitled The China
Syndrome, the report stated that the Chinese approach includes high levels of
continued government ownership (80% of Shanghai Baosteel, for example),
subsidization through loans from state-owned banks at less than commercial rates,
debt writeoffs, assistance with raw material input costs, and maintenance of an
artificially low currency exchange rate. Some of this effective subsidization results
105 World Trade Organization. Committee on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures.
“Transitional Review Mechanism Pursuant to Section 18 of the Protocol on the accession
of the People’s Republic of China: Questions from Canada, Mexico and the United States
Concerning Subsidies” (G/SCM/Q2/CHN/15, October 13, 2005).
106 Assistant USTR for China Affairs Timothy Stratford. “Statement at Congressional Steel
Caucus Hearing” (June 14, 2006), esp. p. 3. A report on this hearing, which includes
congressional rejoinders to the USTR policy statement is in AMM, “China Fuels Fire of
Caucus Trade Grilling” (June 19, 2006 print ed.), p. 2.
from active national government policy, it was alleged, and some results from the
central government’s failure to control provincial and local government entities.107
In 2007, a more detailed report sponsored by the U.S. steel industry provided a
partial tabulation of the documented subsidies it said were received by the Chinese
steel industry. Limited to publicly reported data by the 20 largest Chinese steel
producers, the report, entitled Money for Metal, calculated that subsidies received by
the Chinese industry totaled U.S.$52 billion (393 billion renminbi, in Chinese
currency). It summarized its analysis of the principal subsidies as follows:
!$17.3 billion in preferential loans and directed credit from
government-controlled banks, accounting for the “majority of all
loans in China.”
!$18.6 billion in “equity infusions and/or debt-to-equity swaps ... At
least 37 different Chinese steel companies have benefitted, including
all of the major producers.”
!$5.1 billion in land-use discounts, necessitated because private land
ownership by industrial enterprises is “nearly impossible in China.”
The report alleges that steel companies are charged only a pittance
for the land-use rights they acquire.
!$1.3 billion in “government-mandated mergers.” As part of the
policy of industry consolidation, favored companies, such as
Shanghai Baosteel, have been transferred controlling equity stakes
in smaller competitors at little or no cost.
!$258.6 million in direct cash grants, sometimes linked to specific
construction contracts, reported by steel companies.108
The system of subsidization, the report alleges, is linked to government control
of the industry, which it details in a tabular presentation on the 20 largest steel
companies. Of these companies, all except one (number 17 by output) are wholly or
majority-owned by governments. However, in calculating government ownership,
the table essentially lumps together central, provincial, and local levels of
ownership.109 The conflict between the policy goals of these levels of government
is explicitly stated in the report:
All three levels of government maintain separate, and sometimes distinct,
policies that impact the steel industry. While these policies are often in concert
with one another ... the numerous policy directives from the various levels of
government underscore the often competing interests between the central,
provincial and local governments ... Notably, ... many provincial and local
107 Alan H. Price, et al., The China Syndrome: How Subsidies and Government Intervention
Created the World’s Largest Steel Industry (July 2006). For a summary, see AMM, “Steel
Groups say China in Violation of WTO Rules” (July 14, 2006).
108 This summary is abridged from the executive summary in the same authors’ Money for
Metal: A Detailed Examination of Chinese Government Subsidies to Its Steel Industry (July
2007), pp. ii-iii. The detailed analysis of these subsidies is in pp. 25-42, with other types of
subsidies discussed in pp. 52ff.
109 Ibid., Table 1, pp. 8-9.
governments are encouraging the expansion of the local steel industry at the
same time that the central government purports to be eliminating obsolete110
capacity and limiting overall capacity.
The central Chinese government itself recognizes a problem, which it ascribes
to obsolete excessive productive capacity. It indicated plans to shut 100 million MT
of excess capacity, particularly among more than 200 smaller mills in two northern
interior provinces.111 In 2007, after many months of delay, the NDRC drew up an
expanded list of 682 steel facilities, located at 334 sites, which were to be closed by
2010 at the latest. Although the operations affected number in the hundreds, the total
steelmaking capacity would be about 35-40 million MT, or less than 5% of China’s
capacity, according to independent analysis. NDRC is quoted as saying that there
will be further announcements of closures. “However,” the analysis notes, “the
government cannot stop mills developing larger, more efficient facilities that comply
with NDRC guidelines while increasing capacity.”112
Money for Metal does not maintain that there is a monolithic Chinese steel
policy controlled by a single government entity, but rather that industry ownership
and control is in the hands of different government entities with different agendas.
The Chinese industry it describes is not really controlled by “government” as much
as it is controlled by “governments,” in a Communist state that is in a process of
transitioning itself to a more market-oriented economy. The report seems to project
a future in which the U.S. steel industry may confront either a more consolidated and
efficient Chinese industry, able to export whenever it has excess capacity for
domestic demand, or a rampantly expanding industry, which can always cut price to
export excess output — or both existing simultaneously, and subsidized by all levels
of government in China.113
CISA has rejected this analysis of a highly subsidized domestic industry. It
reportedly stated, in a response to the report, that dominance of the industry by a
group of leading, government-controlled companies was a false image, and the
calculation of $52 billion in subsidies “in the past decade lacks proofs and is full of
false accusations.” It maintained that the domestic industry is both more broadly
based and privately held than the U.S. industry report would indicate. In any case,
CISA noted, “It is a common practice for each country, including the U.S., to
subsidize its steel industry as it develops.”114
110 Ibid., pp. 12-13, 19; the intervening pages cite many examples of conflicts between
central government five-year plans, and the implementation in local plans.
111 AMM, “China Reiterates Plan to Cut Excess Iron, Steel Capacity” (July 5, 2006).
112 Steel Business Briefing. SBB Analytics: China, “The NDRC on the War Path” (May 7,
113 Similar points were made by the domestic steel industry in an October 2007 ITC hearing
on China’s steel industry that was requested by Congress. See AMM, “Steelmakers Mount
Attacks Against China on Two Fronts” (October 31, 2007).
114 Ibid., “CISA Lambastes US’ China Steel Subsidy Report” (August 8, 2007).
The CISA position reflected the official reaction of the Chinese government to
the U.S. industry report, as expressed in the session of the U.S.-China Steel Dialogue,
held in early August 2007. The Chinese delegation reportedly attacked the paper as
“propaganda” and replete with “misconceptions.” They claimed that the U.S.
industry abused U.S. trade remedy laws and was itself the beneficiary of subsidies.
One allegation was that PBGC’s takeover of steel industry pensions (see above)
represented a U.S. government bailout of the steel industry. This itself is a common
misconception; though chartered by Congress as a government corporation, PBGC
receives no federal appropriations and is funded by premiums paid by covered private
industry pension plans.115 The meeting apparently ended with no substantive
agreement on policy issues.116
The U.S. WTO Case Against Chinese Subsidies. The Bush
Administration found responses by China regarding U.S. complaints about state
subsidies to be insufficient. On February 2, 2007, the Office of the USTR announced
that it was seeking consultations with China at the WTO on a range of policies that
effectively subsidized Chinese producers, explicitly including the steel industry.
Consultation is the first step in bringing a case under WTO rules against a trading
partner. The USTR statement noted that, “Several of the subsidy programs at issue
appear to grant export subsidies, which provide incentives for foreign investors in
China and their Chinese partners to export to the United States and other markets.”
The statement did note progress in China “to open its market and reform its trade
practices since becoming a Member of the WTO,” and that China made “express
commitments in its accession protocol to abide by WTO prohibitions on the granting
of export and import substitution subsidies. However, the Chinese government has
continued to use a number of industrial policy tools — including these kinds of117
subsidies — to support Chinese industry.”
In specific response to the Administration action, China eliminated one type of
alleged subsidy and announced a new tax program to address other subsidy issues.
This necessitated a re-filing of the U.S. case at the WTO in May 2007. The United
States was joined by Mexico as an original complainant, with Canada, the EU, Japan,118
and Australia as third parties to the case.
Furthermore, other nations have also taken, or are reported to be considering,
trade remedy measures aimed at restrianing steel imports from China. The Canadian
International Trade Tribunal ruled that a type of OCTG product imported from China
injured a Canadian producer, setting the stage for AD/CVD tariffs to be set by the
115 See CRS Report RS22650, “The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation and the Federal
Budget,” by William J. Klunk.
116 AMM, “Chinese Fight Back at US-China Steel Dialogue” (August 6, 2007).
117 Office of USTR. “United States Files WTO Case Against China over Prohibited
Subsidies,” press release (February 2, 2007); FT.com, “US-China Tensions Rise over
Subsidies” (February 2, 2007); Washington Post, “U.S. Takes China to WTO over
Subsidies” (February 3, 2007), p. D3; AMM, “US Files Case Against China on Subsidies”
(February 5, 2007).
118 CRS interview with Jean Kemp, Office of USTR (June 22, 2007).
Canadian Border Services Agency.119 European and Mexican steel producers have
initiated or are reportedly planning requests to their authorities for broad trade
restriction measures on Chinese steel imports.120
Chinese Measures to Restrain Steel Exports. The Chinese government
has also taken specific actions to curtail or eliminate policy measures, which,
although they may be legal under U.S. trade law or WTO rules, have the effect of
encouraging steel exports as opposed to domestic sales. These measures included
reduction or elimination of China’s general value-added tax (VAT) rebate of as much
as 17% on exported steel products and adding an export duty on some steel items.
As expressed in the May 2007 Chinese industry paper, “The reduction and
elimination of the VAT tax rebate is designed as a ‘bridge’ measure to rein in exports
while other elements of China’s steel policy take effect and bring supply and demand
into balance domestically.”121 Moreover, in May 2007 China announced
establishment of a steel export licensing system that would apply to “a significant
portion of China’s steel exports.”122
The U.S. government has stated its preference for market-based policy reforms,
including the elimination of systemic subsidies, rather than administrative actions on
foreign trade, as a solution to the question of unfair competition from China. But the
breadth of the U.S. WTO case on Chinese subsidies throughout its economy indicates
how deep-rooted such policies are, and how difficult they may be to eliminate.
Consequently, short-term measures may be necessary to address the problem of
“overheated” steel exports. But in implementing this approach piecemeal and with
border measures aimed at specific products, the Chinese government may also give
the impression that it is manipulating or gaming the trading system product by123
product. Moreover, the discouragement of steel exports may well just push the
problem downstream, as U.S. steel consuming industries find increased competition124
from Chinese producers using cheap domestic steel.
Such interpretations could be drawn from a quick review of how the Chinese
policy has moved forward since an initial policy circular of September 2006. First,
the government marginally reduced (from 11% to 8%) the export rebate on a range
of steel products (plate, coiled sheet, bars). But it also cancelled rebates of 5% on
some steelmaking alloys at that time, then later established export duties on a wider
119 AMM, “China Seamless Casing Imports Said Injuring Canadian Producer” (October 17,
120 Ibid., “Wire Rod Case in Works by Mexican Producers” (October 31, 2007); Wall St.
Journal, “European Steel Makers to Seek EU Tariffs on China Steel Imports” (October 29,
121 CCCMC, China’s Steel Industry, p. 16.
122 AMM, “China Imposing Licensing System of Steel Exports” (May 1, 2007).
123 See AMM, “China Export Tax Shifting Focus to High-Value Steel” (July 30, 2007). This
article notes a shift away from exports of lower value products, such as rebar, and toward
higher value items such as heavy plate and galvanized steel coil.
124 Ibid., “Potential Wire Flood Perturbs Rod Producers” (June 7, 2007); Global Insight.
Steel Monthly Report (September 2007), p. 6.
range of inputs. These steps could be viewed as helping the competitive position of
China’s steel industry by keeping raw materials at home. In April 2007, at the time
of a U.S.-China economic dialogue, China eliminated the 8% rebate altogether on
some flat-rolled products, and reduced it from 11% to 5% on others. However,
China left in place the 11% rebate on steel pipe and tube exports. In May 2007,
China added export duties to steel bar and rod exports. In June 2007, after China was
included in a U.S. producers’ trade petition on pipe and tube, China announced it
would end the export rebates offered on these products as of July 1, 2007. But this
decision excluded oil country tubular goods, on which the ITC had just revoked
remedy duties on imports from other countries (see below).125
China’s Foreign Investment Policy on Steel. In view of the relative
fragmentation of China’s steel industry, which still makes Chinese companies
potential targets in an era of international consolidation and strong domestic growth,
the Chinese government also included steel companies in a proposed new foreign
investment review procedure. In its Steel Policy of 2005, China banned foreign
acquisition of large steel mills, because it apparently believed they would be
especially vulnerable to takeovers during a period of restructuring of state-owned
assets. In mid-2006 the Ministry of Finance announced a new foreign investment
review body, to be organized under the NDRC, for the purpose of protecting national
“economic safety” in cases of acquisitions by foreign investors. In December 2006
new guidelines for state-owned enterprises did not include steel on the list of seven
industries considered most crucial for national security. This left it open to
speculation that the industry would be made more responsive to market pressures,126
and that foreign investors could play a role in industry consolidation.
China’s steel industry remains atomized, but like the industry globally it is
undergoing consolidation. In 2005, there was only one Chinese company in the top
10 internationally, and only two in the top 20. As indicated in Table 1, by 2006 there
were two in the top ten: Shanghai Baosteel and Tangshan, producing 23 million MT
and 19 million MT, respectively. Three other Chinese companies were in the top 20,
giving China a total of one-quarter of the companies at this level.
Whatever the implications that may be drawn from the Chinese government’s
official statements on foreign investment, there is no apparent indication that it
intends to liberalize investment procedures in the steel industry. While Mittal Steel
was able to make one minority investment in a Chinese steel tube manufacturer, the
125 Kemp USTR interview (June 22, 2007) was extremely helpful in listing and analyzing
the principal Chinese policy actions. Some of them were described and listed in various
issues of AMM and there was a systematic listing through April 2007 in CCCMC, China’s
Steel Industry, attachment 1, but this is now out of date, and also difficult to read without
detailed knowledge of harmonized tariff codes.
126 Ibid., “China to Step Up Scrutiny of Some Foreign Holdings” (June 20, 2006), p. 6; and
“China May Loosen Grip on Steel, Nonferrous” (December 20, 2006), p. 4; Bureau of
National Affairs. Daily Report for Executives (DER), “China Sets New Guidelines to
Consolidate Government Ownership of Key Industries” (December 20, 2006), p. A-2. But
also see, Washington Post, “China Gets Cold Feet for Foreign Investment” (February 2,
successor company, ArcelorMittal, has been reportedly unsuccessful in seeking to
make large minority investments in other major Chinese steel companies. These
investments have reportedly been stalled by NDRC scrutiny, and by preference for
solutions involving only Chinese companies.127
Congressional Reaction to Competition from China. Congress has
been concerned regarding the competitive impact of competition from China that has
been deemed unfair, although it has not considered legislation specifically aimed
against imports of steel or steel products. Many Members of Congress and
representatives of U.S. steel producers and consumers appear to feel that the issue of
Chinese subsidization is even broader than the types of measures that may be
addressed in the WTO case.128
China’s government has maintained a fixed exchange rate against the dollar,
leading many U.S. manufacturers to claim that in two-way trade this is unfair,
because China’s currency value does not reflect the country’s growing industrialth
competitiveness. In the 109 Congress S. 295, co-sponsored by Senators Charles
Schumer and Lindsey Graham, would have added a 27.5% tariff to all imports from
China unless the President could certify within six months that China is no longer
manipulating its exchange rate. It was included as an amendment to the Foreign
Affairs Authorization Bill (S. 600, Title XXIX) on April 6, 2005, when the Senate
voted 67-33 not to table the amendment. The sponsors agreed to withdraw the
amendment, provided they were guaranteed a floor vote within six months on S. 295.
In July 2005 the Bank of China announced a new exchange rate policy, which tied
its currency to an international currency “basket,” rather than directly to the dollar —
a policy change that had the effect of a slight upward revaluation. The Senate
subsequently agreed further to postpone floor action in consideration of other steps
that the Chinese government might take.129
U.S. steel producers joined with their customers in the 109th Congress to support
legislation that would allow U.S. producers to bring countervailing duty (CVD) cases
against exporters alleged to be receiving government subsidies from governments of
countries that are designated nonmarket economies, such as China. Commerce
Department enforcement policy has been not to bring CVD cases in these
127 AMM.com, “Chinese Steelmaker Laiwu Iron Focuses on Developing Quality, Not
Quantity” (April 26, 2007); “Beijing Backs Baosteel’s Takeover of Baotou Iron & Steel”
(April 30, 2007); and, “Asia: The Silk Curtain Is Slowly Closing on Foreign Investment”
(July 1, 2007).
128 See comments in AMM, “US Case vs. China” (February 5, 2007), for example, as well
as the legislative initiatives that are described below.
129 CRS Report RS21625, China’s Currency: A Summary of the Economic Issues, by Wayne
M. Morrison and Marc Labonte. See floor speeches of co-sponsoring Sens. Graham and
Schumer on November 16, 2005 (Congressional Record, S12924-95). The principal co-
sponsors announced in March 2006 a further indefinite postponement of seeking action on
the measure, following discussions with high-level representatives of the Chinese
government. See New York Times, “Trade Truce with China in the Senate” (March 29,
(October 2, 2006), p. 11.
circumstances, but rather to require U.S. producers to seek trade relief exclusively
through antidumping laws.130 On July 27, 2005, the House passed, by a vote of 255-
168, H.R. 3283, a bill introduced by Representative Philip English, that would have
applied U.S. countervailing duty law to nonmarket economies (NMEs, such as
China), require extensive monitoring of China’s commitments on trade and
intellectual property rights, and require the Treasury Department to report on China’s
new currency mechanism. The Senate took no action on this legislation during the
Since then, the Treasury Department has reviewed China’s exchange rate policy,
as part of its semi-annual report to Congress on the dollar exchange rate and foreign
currency policies. During this period, the Treasury Department has yet to designate
China as a currency manipulator for trade advantage.131 A number of bills have been
introduced in the 110th Congress to address this issue, in an effort to encourage the
Bush Administration to take more aggressive action against alleged Chinese currency
manipulation, including trade sanctions, or remedies to assist affected U.S.
producers. The following analysis of these bills is excerpted from CRS Report
RL32165, China’s Currency: Economic Issues and the Options for Trade Policy, by
Wayne M. Morrison and Marc Labonte:
!H.R. 321 (English) would require the Treasury Department to determine
if China has manipulated its currency and to estimate the rate of that
manipulation (if such a determination were made), which then would
require the imposition of additional tariffs on Chinese products (equal to
the estimated rate of manipulation). The bill also calls on the United States
to file a WTO case against China over its currency policy and to work
within the WTO to modify and clarify rules regarding currency
!H.R. 782 (Tim Ryan) S. 796 (Bunning) would apply U.S. countervailing
laws (dealing with government subsidies) to products imported from
non-market economies (such as China) and would establish an alternative
methodology for estimating the amount of government subsidy benefit
provided if information is not available on the amount of subsidies given
to various industries in that country. The bills also make exchange rate
misalignment actionable under U.S. countervailing law, require the
Treasury Department to determine whether a currency is misaligned in its
semi-annual reports to Congress on exchange rates, prohibit the
Department of Defense from purchasing certain products imported from
China if it is determined that China’s currency misalignment has disrupted
U.S. defense industries, and would include currency misalignment as a
factor in determining (China-specific) safeguard measures on imports of
Chinese products that cause market disruption.
130 For details on this issue, see CRS Report RL32371, Trade Remedies: A Primer, by
Vivian C. Jones.
131 The issue is summarized in CRS Report RS21625, China’s Currency: A Summary of the
Economic Issues, by Wayne M. Morrison and Marc Labonte.
!H.R. 1002 (Spratt) would impose 27.5% in additional tariffs on Chinese
goods unless the President certifies that China is no longer manipulating
!H.R. 2942 (Tim Ryan) would apply countervailing laws to nonmarket
economies, make an undervalued currency a factor in determining
antidumping and countervailing duties, require Treasury to identify
fundamentally misaligned currencies and to list those meeting that criteria
for priority action. If consultations fail to resolve the currency issues, the
USTR would be required to take action in the WTO.
!S. 364 (Rockefeller) would apply U.S. countervailing laws on non-market
economies and would make exchange rate manipulation actionable under
!S. 1607 (Baucus) would require the Treasury Department to identify
currencies that are fundamentally misaligned and to designate such
currencies for priority action under certain circumstances in its
semi-annual reports to Congress on exchange rates. If after consultations
the country maintaining the designated currency policy fails to adopt
appropriate policies within 180 days, the U.S. would make currency
undervaluation a factor in determining antidumping duties, ban federal
procurement of products or services from the designated country, bar
financing by the U.S. Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC),
and would require U.S. officials to oppose multilateral financing for that
country. If the designated country failed to take appropriate measures, the
USTR would be required to file a case in the WTO, and the Treasury
Department would be directed to consider taking remedial intervention in
international currency markets. A modified version of the bill passed the
Senate Finance Committee on July 31, 2007.
!S. 1677 (Dodd) requires the Treasury Department to identify countries
that manipulate their currencies regardless of their intent and to submit an
action plan for ending the manipulation; and gives Treasury the authority
to file a case in the WTO. The bill was approved by the Senate Banking132
Committee on August 1, 2007.
As it has done twice before, and within a few days of the June 2007 Treasury
report, the Office of the USTR rejected a petition under Section 301 of U.S. trade law
to bring a case against China on currency manipulation. The steel industry was
among those joining the petition. USTR Susan Schwab stated the Administration’s
policy that “firm engagement with China, in concert with international institutions
and other countries,” was “likely to be more productive” than following a process133
under U.S. trade law.
132 CRS Report RL32165, China’s Currency: Economic Issues for U.S. Trade Policy, by
Wayne M. Morrison and Marc Labonte. For a press analysis from the steel industry
perspective on Senate Finance approval of S. 1607, see AMM, “Currency Bill Gets Panel
OK, Not Treasury’s” (July 30, 2007).
133 Ibid., “Engagement with China Key, USTR Says in Axing ‘301’ Petition” (June 15,
Meanwhile, the Chinese government intervened in a U.S. antidumping case to
request that its designation be changed to that of a market economy for the purposes
of U.S. antidumping law. On December 22, 2005, the Department of Commerce
received a request from respondents in an antidumping investigation on imports of
lined paper (A-570-901) to revise U.S. policy and to designate China as a market
economy. On February 2, 2006, Commerce also received a submission from the
Chinese government in support of this request. But the Commerce Department found
that “despite recent and ongoing reform efforts, the significant extent of continued
government intervention in certain important sectors of the economy warrants
maintaining China’s designation as an NME country.”134
Later in 2006 the Commerce Department instituted an investigation into
allegedly dumped and subsidized imports of paper from Asian countries, including
China. This is the first CVD investigation since 1991 to target an NME. On
December 15, 2006, the ITC found material injury to domestic producers in the case,
allowing it to proceed. On the same day, the Commerce Department requested public
comments on application of U.S. CVD laws to imports from China.135 Responding
to this request on January 19, 2007, Representatives English, Artur Davis, Peter
Visclosky and 29 other House members, including many from the Congressional
Steel Caucus, wrote that it was their “strong contention that countervailing duty law
should be applied to nonmarket economy countries ...” and that it is “a fundamental
misinterpretation of current law to not apply CVD law to NME countries.”136 On
April 9, 2007, the Commerce Department International Trade Administration
announced a preliminary determination that countervailable subsidies were being
provided by the Chinese government to the paper industry, and that determination
was confirmed on October 18, 2007.137
On August 1, 2007, Senator Max Baucus, chair of the Finance Committee, and
two co-sponsors introduced another trade bill, S. 1919, which, in part, deals with the
NME issue. Section 401 of this bill is similar to other legislation by including NMEs
under CVD rules. Unlike the other bills concerned with subsidization in NMEs,
however, this one is silent on the currency manipulation issue.138
134 U.S. Dept. of Commerce. “Fact Sheet: The People’s Republic of China’s Request for
Review of Non-Market Economy Status,” and “The People’s Republic of China (PRC)
Status as a Non-Market Economy (NME),” memorandum, antidumping investigation A-570-
135 DER, “ITC Sees Possible Injury from Asian Paper; Commerce Seeks Comment on
Chinese CVDs” (December 18, 2006), p. A-12; U.S. Dept. of Commerce. International
Trade Administration. “Application of the Countervailing Duty Law to Imports from the
People’s Republic of China: Request for Comment,” Federal Register (December 15, 2006),
136 Reps. Artur Davis, Philip English, et al. Letter to Secretary of Commerce Carlos
Gutierrez (January 19, 2007).
137 Federal Register (April 9, 2007), esp. p. 17486, and, (October 25, 2007), pp. 60645-48;
AMM, “Subsidy Duties vs. China Hold; Industry Cheers” (October 22, 2007).
138 Congressional Record (August 1, 2007), S10609-10; AMM, “New Bill Attempts to Plug
Steel Policy Issues
Failure to Achieve a Global Steel Subsidies Agreement
In recognition of the global nature of steel industry issues, President Bush
proposed international discussions on the elimination of excess steel capacity and
restrictions on future domestic industry subsidies, as part of his general steel policy
announcement of 2001. Other governments agreed to join representatives of the
Bush Administration in discussing overcapacity and trade issues under the auspices
of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), in a
process that started in mid-September 2001. The industrial, steel-producing members
of the OECD were joined by major non-OECD steel producers, such as India, Russia,
and, during later stages of the talks, China. The early stages produced indications by
participating governments of capacity reductions totaling about 140 million MT of
crude steelmaking capacity that could be made in their countries by the end of
2005.139 But this was not followed by definitive commitments to close capacity, nor
have the participants agreed on the basis for an international agreement to end
domestic subsidies to the steel industry. Negotiations were suspended indefinitely
in 2004, though the parties agreed to continued future meetings.
By June 2003, the OECD’s staff had reportedly constructed a draft proposal that
outlined compromise proposals on “six elements negotiators believe are crucial in
forming the framework of an agreement.”140 But the parties deadlocked beyond that
point, as the recovery of global steel markets and the subsequent end of the U.S.
safeguard tariffs seemed to reduce the impetus for compromise. Countries such as
Brazil and India want a recognized right to continue to subsidize certain aspects of
their steel industries, and rejected any offer to accept a phase-in period to full
elimination of subsidies. There was also a related issue as to whether subsidies
should still be countervailable, even if they are notified by signatories and are
considered legitimate under exceptions to an agreement. The United States, on the
one side, and Japan and the EU on the other, differed as to whether subsidies should
be allowed for R&D activities and environmental upgrades, as might be required, for
example, by the Kyoto Treaty on Climate Change. The U.S. steel industry itself
consistently lobbied the U.S. Administration to oppose any international acceptance
of steel industry subsidies, except as related to a plant closure.141
While the basic principle of far-reaching subsidies discipline was apparently
accepted, no agreement could be reached by mid-2004. At that point participants
Holes in How Trade Issues Are Handled” (August 3, 2007), p. 4.
139 This estimate was cited in DER, “Major Steel-Producing Countries Launch Talks on
Banning Subsidies at OECD Meeting” (December 20, 2002).
140 Nancy E. Kelly, “Steel Talks to Kick Off in Paris, Six Issues Seen Hot for Debate,”
AMM (June 10, 2003).
141 The major issues and course of the talks were reviewed in detail in CRS Report
RL31842, Steel: Section 201 Safeguard Action and International Negotiations, by Stephen
Cooney, pp. 35-40 (out of print, but available from author).
agreed that, while the OECD would continue to monitor developments in steel
markets, further discussions would be suspended pending a review in early 2005.142
But a January 2005 meeting at the OECD produced no further evident progress in the
discussions. A number of private sector U.S. representatives of the steel industry at
the discussions stated that many governments were further subsidizing new
steelmaking capacity as the global market for steel boomed. The OECD members
present did agree to continue the operations of the Steel Committee.143
To further preparations for this meeting, OECD staff drafted a proposed
“blueprint” for a steel subsidies agreement. It was generally designed to ban a broad
range of steel industry subsidies across the board; in commentaries on the blueprint,
OECD officials stated that 90% or more of historical subsidies would be prohibited.
The details of the document proposed a series of solutions to outstanding issues.
A major issue was “actionability,” e.g., subjection of subsidies to trade remedy
laws. If a proposed subsidy were notified to the review committee that was to be
formed under the proposal, and this were duly “approved” by that committee by
“consensus” (unanimity), then subsidies should not be countervailable under trade
laws of participating countries. The OECD staff claimed that “all subsidies that are
actionable, remain actionable,” and that proposed de minimis standards in the
blueprint actually reduced the levels that are allowed anyway under U.S. trade law.144
Representatives of the American steel industry reacted negatively to the
blueprint. Most discussion focused on “exceptions” that would be permitted, and
types of payments that would constitute allowable subsidies. An executive of U.S.
Steel, for example, was especially concerned about the question of “actionability,”
that is, subsidies allowed under the agreement could not be subject to U.S. trade
remedy laws. The general view of the industry, as reported in trade journal articles,
was that an agreement designed to ban subsidies should not instead focus on carving
out exceptions to subsidy discipline.145
By October 2005 the responses to the OECD staff blueprint did not indicate that
the participating countries were moving toward a consensus on outstanding issues.
142 The official paper describing the state of negotiations in addressing key issues is OECD
SG/STEEL (2004)3. “Steel Agreement Issues” (June 29, 2004). Reports on the stalemate
include DER, “OECD Steel Subsidy Talks Suspended Until 2005” (June 30, 2004), p. A-1;
Inside U.S. Trade, “Countries Agree to Shelve Formal OECD Steel Talks” (June 28, 2004).
143 AMM, “High Steel Demand Cited for Killing Global Subsidy Deal” (January 19, 2005),
144 OECD. “Blueprint for a Steel Subsidies Agreement,” attachment to letter from Deputy
Secretary General Herwig Schlögl (March 31, 2005); and, “Steel Subsidies Agreement:
Blueprint,” presentation by Wolfgang Hübner to AISI/SMA (May 17, 2005). Reports on
development and release of the blueprint were in AMM, “Steel Subsidy Talks Get Another
Chance to Work” (March 24, 2005); and, “OECD Delivers Blueprint for Steel Subsidies
Pact” (April 4, 2005).
145 AMM, “Pre-Agreed OECD Subsidies Dubbed a ‘Deal-Killer’ for U.S.” (April 8, 2005);
and, “OECD’s Blueprint Bites into Steel Subsidy Limits” (May 18, 2005).
The OECD therefore terminated the high-level discussions.146 The OECD Steel
Committee, comprised of representatives of member governments and other invited
participants, continues in existence. In future meetings, the committee may review
steel industry developments in Asian countries, raw material issues, and globalization
of the steel sector.147
Repeal of the Byrd Amendment
Related in part to the financial difficulties of the U.S. steel industry in the late
1990s, the Continued Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act (CDSOA), was signed into
law in October, 2000. The CDSOA is known as the “Byrd Amendment,” because the
West Virginia Senator added it to the FY2001 Agriculture appropriations bill (P.L.
106-387).148 It requires antidumping and countervailing duties to be deposited in a
special account and distributed annually to domestic industry petitioners, who meet
eligibility criteria, to offset expenses incurred as a result of the dumped or subsidized
imports. Steel companies benefitted from distributions under this law, which was
successfully challenged in the WTO. The U.S. government lost its appeal and said
that it would comply with the WTO finding.149 Both houses of Congress approved
a bill that included repeal of this provision, but required the distribution of duties
collected on entries of goods made and filed before October 1, 2007 (P.L. 109-171,
§7601). The repeal went into effect as scheduled, and AD/CVD duties henceforth
will revert directly to the U.S. Treasury Department.150 Some U.S. trading partners
did not consider this an adequate implementation of the WTO ruling.
The U.S. steel industry has generally been a major recipient of the customs
duties distributed under the Byrd Amendment. “At least $1.4 billion in Byrd
Amendment payouts have been distributed since 2001, two-thirds of which went to
only three industries: bearings, steel and candles,” according to one source.151 For
Fiscal Years 2001-04, steel companies received disbursement checks totaling $129
million out of a total of $1.035 billion, according to GAO calculations. U.S. Steel
was the largest recipient in the industry, at $22.6 million. AK Steel received $11.3
million. ISG received a total of $10.4 million during this period, while one of its
predecessor companies, Bethlehem Steel, received $6 million before its acquisition
by ISG. The other major steel industry recipients were three stainless and specialty
146 DER, “OECD Calls Off Deadlocked Multilateral Steel Negotiations” (October 7, 2005).
147 Communication to CRS from U.S. Dept. of Commerce. International Trade
Administration (January 11, 2006); AMM, “Long-Dead Steel Subsidy Talks Still Influential:
OECD Official” (June 19, 2006 print ed.), p. 2.
148 Included as Title X; codified at 19 USC §1675c.
149 For a summary history of the measure, see CRS Report RL33045, The Continued
Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act (‘Byrd Amendment’) , by Vivian C. Jones and Jeanne J.
150 AMM, “Consumers Cheer As Byrd Makes Final Landing” (October 3, 2007), p. 8.
steel producers, Carpenter Technology, Allegheny Ludlum and North American
Stainless, which each received between $10 million and $13 million.152
By far the leading beneficiary of Byrd Amendment disbursements was the
Timken Company, a major manufacturer of roller bearings and steel used in bearings,
and other bearing manufacturers that Timken acquired or controlled. According to
the GAO, $205 million was paid out in 2001-04 to Timken alone, while a further
$135 million was paid out to Torrington (a company acquired by Timken in 2003),
and $55 million was paid to MPB Corporation, a subsidiary of Timken. These
amounts totaled nearly $400 million, accounting for almost all the funds distributed
to the U.S. domestic bearings industry, and about 40% of all duties distributed under
the Byrd law.153
For FY2005, this pattern continued, albeit with some adjustments. Overall, total
disbursements under the program fell from $284 million to $227 million, with more
than a third of the funds again going to Timken ($81 million). U.S. Steel’s receipts
took a large one-year drop from $7.1 million to $1.5 million, while the total received
by the newly formed Mittal Steel, including its subsidiaries, was more than $3
million. The leading steel industry recipient in FY2005 was AK Steel, which
received $7.1 million. Stainless and specialty steel companies were again among the
leading recipients, while the only minimill operator to receive more than $1 million
The Bush Administration proposed repeal of the Byrd Amendment in its
FY2004-06 budget requests, on the grounds not only of the need to comply with
WTO rulings, but also because it argued that the law represented a form of “double-
dipping” and corporate welfare. Legislation to modify or repeal the law was
introduced in the Senate in the 108th Congress, but no action was taken on these
measures.155 In the 109th Congress, H.R. 1121, a measure to repeal the Byrd
Amendment, was introduced on March 3, 2005, by Representative Jim Ramstad, a
member of the Ways and Means Committee, and co-sponsored by Representative
Clay Shaw, chairman of that committee’s Trade Subcommittee. The Consuming
Industries Trade Action Coalition, which has consistently opposed steel industry
trade policy efforts, announced that repeal of the law was a top priority in the 109th
152 U.S. Government Accountability Office. Issues and Effects of Implementing the
Continued Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act, GAO Report 05-979 (September 2005), fig. 8
and tab. 8.
153 Ibid., tab. 5. The skewed distribution of funds under the law was a major point made in
comments by the GAO, and critics such as House Ways and Means Committee Chairman
Bill Thomas; see “Trade Law Opponents Point to Stats from GAO,” Washington Post
(September 27, 2005). Discussion of the reasons for this distribution and further analysis
are in CRS Report RL33045.
154 AMM, “More or Less, It’s a Nice Chunk of Change” (December 12, 2005 print ed.), p.
155 CRS Report RL33045.
Congress.156 The GAO found that, “Some steel companies acknowledged that the
CDSOA disbursements have not been significant in relation to their size or capital
expenditure needs,” and that disbursements for many amounted to less than 1% of
net sales in a recent fiscal year. But it also found that the industry generally agreed
that the law has had a “positive impact.”157 Both the steel industry and the USWA
strongly supported keeping the law in place.158
On October 26, 2005, with the support of Chairman Bill Thomas, the House
Ways & Means Committee added repeal of the Byrd Amendment to a budget
reconciliation package. A motion to delete the Byrd repeal, offered by Representative
Stephanie Tubbs Jones, was defeated 21-18. The full package was then approved in
committee 22-17.159 Repeal of the provision thus became part of the bill on budget
reconciliation and deficit reduction (H.R. 4241), which went to the House floor,
where it was approved on November 18, 2005, by a vote of 217-215.160
Subsequently, the Senate voted 72-19 to instruct conferees on the legislation not to
accept any repeal of the Byrd Amendment.161 Nevertheless, a modified version of the
repealer was included in S. 1932, the conference report on the Deficit Reduction Act
of 2005. The bill was passed by the Senate on December 21, 2005, on a vote of 51-
In the House-Senate conference on S. 1932, the effective date of repeal was
pushed back until October 1, 2007, reportedly at the insistence of Senator Larry
Craig.163 On the floor, a colloquy between Senator Craig and Majority Leader Bill
Frist clarified that duties assessed under antidumping and countervailing duty
(AD/CVD) orders on entries of imports before that date will be distributed to eligible
supporters of the orders, as specified in the law, even though final distribution may
occur after that date.164
156 AMM, “CITAC Adds Muscle to Push Repeal of Byrd Amendment” (February 18, 2005),
157 GAO Rept., p. 70.
158 See, for example, Washington Post, “... Stats from GAO,;” on quotes from USWA
President Gerard; and, AMM, November 21, 2005, and November 28, 2005 print ed. on steel
industry reaction to inclusion of Byrd Amendment repeal in House legislation.
159 DER, “Ways and Means Committee Approves Repeal of Byrd Law” (October 27, 2005),
160 AMM, “House Repeals Byrd, Senate Fate Uncertain” (November 21, 2005), p. 1.
161 DER, “Senate Urges Conferees to Drop Byrd Law Repeal from Budget Bill” (December
162 Inside U.S. Trade, “Bill Containing Byrd Repeal Clears Senate with Cheney’s Vote”
(December 21, 2005); Washington Post, “Senators Vote to Kill Trade Law” (December 22,
2005), p. D1; Wall St. Journal, “U.S. Firms Face Loss of Trade-Duty Revenues” (December
163 Congress Daily, “‘Byrd’ Repeal in Budget Measure Contains Key Compromise”
(December 20, 2005).
164 Congressional Record (December 21, 2005), S14206.
The EU, Canada, Japan and Mexico, which were involved in the WTO case
against the Byrd Amendment policy, have implemented retaliatory tariffs as
authorized by the WTO. The annual total of these tariffs against U.S. exports is $114
million. They remain in place, pending the final repeal of the law, and some of the
complainant governments have indicated concern that trade remedy duties collected
by October 1, 2007, will continue to be disbursed.165 Distributions continue to be
administered under the Byrd Amendment. The FY2006 distribution was scheduled
to include at least $41 million to Timken from Japanese and German bearings cases,
and $7.2 to U.S. steelmakers from hot-rolled steel and stainless steel strip from
Industry Petitioners Lose Wire Rod
Antidumping Case — Pursue Others
As noted in a Congressional Budget Office analysis, the steel industry is by far
the largest user of U.S. AD/CVD orders. The CBO in 2004 counted 131 AD/CVD
orders against imports of steel mill products then in place, plus a further 30 orders
against imported iron and steel pipe products, and 30 orders against assorted other
iron and steel products.167
On November 10, 2005, five U.S. producers of carbon and alloy steel wire rod
joined in a petition to the Commerce Department, alleging that they were being
injured by imports of this product from China, Turkey and Germany. The petitioners
especially focused on China, stating that Chinese producers were being “aggressive,”
and noting margins of 300%, compared to lower margins for the other countries.
Imports from the three countries increased from 12% of the U.S. market in 2002 to
a quarter of the market or more in 2004 and the first half of 2005, according to the168
On December 1, 2005, the ITC held its hearing on the preliminary determination
of material injury, listening to the petitioners, as well as representatives of wire rod
users, who claimed that imports were necessary, following shortages experienced in
165 DER, “Trade Partners Give Cautious Response to U.S. Movement on Byrd Amendment”
(January 23, 2006), p. A-1. On May 1, 2006, the EU raised its trade sanctions against the
Byrd Amendment by about 30%, to $37 million per year; European Commission. “EU
Imposes Revised Measures in Response to Continued US Byrd Amendment Payments,”
press release (May 1, 2006). The response of the U.S. government to continued sanctions
was that it fully implemented WTO findings by repealing the Byrd Amendment; WTO.
“2006 News Items — Dispute Settlement Body” (June 19, 2006), pp. 4-5.
166 Ibid., “Byrd Still Has Wings” (June 18, 2007), p. 10.
167 Congressional Budget Office. “Economic Analysis of the Continued Dumping and
Subsidy Offset Act of 2000,” attachment to letter from Director Douglas Holtz-Eakin to
Rep. Bill Thomas, Chairman, House Ways and Means Committee (March 2, 2004), p.3. The
CBO count pre-dated the December 2006 decision to terminate 17 AD/CVD orders on
imports of corrosion-resistant carbon steel and cut-to-length steel plate, as discussed below.
168 AMM, “U.S. Wire Rod Makers Rap Imports from 3 Nations” (November 14, 2005), p.
a negative injury finding that terminated the case.170
While fewer AD/CVD cases have been brought by the steel industry in recent
years, it is continuing to use this instrument to defend its trade interests. In June
2007, six U.S. producers of welded steel pipe and the USWA filed a new petition
asking for AD and CVD duties to be placed on imports of pipe not more than 16” in
diameter from China, and the ITC in July voted for a preliminary finding of injury.
It also voted similarly in July in a case involving imported nails from China and the
United Arab Emirates. In both cases, the ITC vote was unanimous.171 The only
remaining U.S. producer of steel wire garment hangers, M&B Metal Products of
Alabama, filed a regular AD case in July 2007 against imports from China, after his
industry failed to receive remedy assistance in a China safeguard case (see below).
He also won a unanimous ITC preliminary determination of injury.172 The ITC also
made a preliminary determination in August 2007 of injury in a case brought by the
U.S. pipe and tube industry on light-walled steel rectangular pipe and tube imports
from China, Mexico, Korea, and Turkey.173
President Bush Denies Relief in China Safeguard Case
While the ITC rejected the wire rod producers’ antidumping case, it had ruled
in favor of a safeguard petition brought by steel pipe producers under the special
China safeguard provision of Section 421 of the 1974 Trade Act.174 The Section 421
safeguard was negotiated with China as part of the U.S. agreement to China’s WTO
accession package, and added by Congress to U.S. trade law in 2000. But as in three
previous cases on which the ITC had recommended remedies under this provision,
including one case involving steel wire used in coat hangers, President Bush rejected
any safeguard remedies.
Safeguard actions are different from AD/CVD cases, in that petitioners do not
have to demonstrate actions by exporters that are deemed unfair under U.S. trade law.
In a regular safeguard case, however, petitioners do have to demonstrate “substantial”
injury, e.g., injury from imports that is greater than any other cause. In a China
safeguard case, petitioners need only demonstrate a lesser standard of injury, that of
169 AMM, “He Said, She Said as Rod Case Commences” (December 5, 2005 print ed), p. 2.
170 USITC. News release 05-152, “ITC Votes to End Cases on Carbon and Certain Alloy
Steel Wire Rod from China, Germany and Turkey,” Investigation nos. 731-TA-1099-1101
(December 23, 2005); DER, “ITC Finds No Injury from Imports of Wire Rod from China,
Germany, Turkey” (December 28, 2005), p. A-15; AMM, “ITC Finds No Import Injury,
Rejects Steel Wire Rod Case” (December 28, 2005, p. 1.
171 AMM, “Six Welded Pipe Producers Petition for Duties vs. China” (June 11, 2007); and
“ITC Ruling on Pipe May Provide Long-Term Help” (August 1, 2007), p. 4.
172 Ibid., “Last US Maker of Wire Hangers Files Petition for Import Relief;” and, “ITC Votes
173 Ibid., “ITC Opts for Duties on Rectangular Pipe” (August 13, 2007), p. 2.
174 19 U.S.C. § 2451.
“market disruption” caused by rising imports from China. Review of the evidence
and presidential decision on remedy are expedited by comparison with a regular
safeguard action. Unlike a regular safeguard case, remedies apply only to imports
from China, not to all imports, and China is authorized to retaliate against equivalent
amounts of U.S. exports within two to three years, depending on the basis of the U.S.
On August 2, 2005, seven domestic steel pipe and tube manufacturers and the
USWA filed a petition under Section 421. They alleged market disruption from
rapidly rising imports of standard pipe (circular welded non-alloy steel pipe) from
China. In filing the petition, they noted a surge in imports from China, from less than
10,000 tons in 2002, to 90,000 tons in 2003, 266,000 tons in 2004, and 182,000 tons
in the first half of 2005. “In spite of strong market demand, the import surge has
forced us to lay off a quarter of our employees,” said the president of Wheatland
Tube, one of the petitioning companies. Overall, petitioners said 2,500 workers in
the industry were threatened by the rise in imports from China. The petitioners
requested an annual quota of 90,000 tons on the subject imports.176
On October 3, 2005, the ITC found in a 4-2 vote that standard steel pipe imports
from China were causing, or threatened to cause, market disruption in the United
States. Among those voting affirmatively, the remedy recommendations differed.
Two commissioners found for market disruption and wanted a three-year quota of
160,000 tons per year. Two other commissioners found that increased imports were
only threatening market disruption, and therefore proposed a more lenient tariff rate
quota: a 25% tariff on all imports from China above 267,000 tons in the first year.
The quota would rise proportionally in the subsequent two years. The remaining two
commissioners dissented from the injury findings. They noted rising prices and
profits in the industry following tight supply conditions in 2004. They found that
prices fell in 2005, not because of increased imports, but because of the working off
of overstocked inventories.177
Representatives of the USWA and U.S. pipe manufacturers lobbied the Bush
Administration to grant relief after the announcement of the ITC finding. They were
joined by some Members of Congress. Twenty Senators and 61 Representatives
reportedly endorsed letters urging President Bush to grant quota relief.178
But on December 30, 2005, President Bush refused to provide any trade relief.
He made this decision on two grounds. First, it was noted that the ITC record
showed that “more than 50” third countries supplied pipe to the U.S. market.
Applying a quota to Chinese imports under Section 421 would likely be
“ineffective,” the Administration argued, as many other countries could fill the
subsequent import void. Secondly, the Administration stated that, “according to ITC
175 For details, see CRS Report RL32371, Trade Remedies: A Primer, by Vivian C. Jones.
176 AMM, “US Producers Seek Relief from Chinese Pipe Imports” (August 3, 2005), p. 1.
177 USITC. Circular Welded Non-alloy Steel Pipe from China, Investigation no. TA-421-6
(Publ. 3807, October 2005).
178 AMM, “Politicians Back Plea for Relief vs. China Pipe” (December 2, 2005), p. 1.
estimates,” the costs of import relief to U.S. consumers would be four to five times
greater than the benefits gained by domestic producers (depending on which ITC
remedy was used). Therefore, the President decided that relief was not in the national
As might be expected, the domestic steel industry was critical of the presidential
decision not to take any action. At least one pipe mill has closed since the decision
was announced, reportedly because of the pressures of increasing domestic costs and
direct competition with imports from China.180 On the other hand, the American
Institute for International Steel, representing importers, and the Chinese government
both voiced support for the decision. An official statement of the Chinese Ministry
of Commerce noted that this was the fourth consecutive time that President Bush had
declined to provide relief under this section of the trade law, and that this policy “will
benefit the health and steady development of the two countries’ trading
Senator Rockefeller’s trade bill, S. 364, some provisions of which were
discussed earlier, would eliminate the President’s discretion not to implement the
ITC’s recommended course of action in China safeguard cases. Title IV of the
legislation would provide, in event of an affirmative decision by the ITC, that the
President would have to implement the remedy relief proposed by a majority of the
ITC. Section 301 of S. 1919, introduced by Senator Baucus, would also essentially
require the President to adopt positive recommendations of the ITC for trade remedy
relief in a 421 safeguard case.
ITC Revokes Duties for Steel Flat Products in 2006
Under U.S. trade law, in compliance with WTO rules, AD/CVD actions are
reviewed systematically after five years. This is to determine if penalized foreign
action — dumping or subsidization — is not occurring or not likely to recur, with
respect to the products subject to the order.182
The ITC in December 2006 concluded five-year reviews of AD/CVD duties
currently in place on flat products imported from 16 countries, including the two
NAFTA partners, Brazil, Japan, Korea and all the major western European steel
producers. There were two groups of carbon steel “flat” products involved:
corrosion-resistant steel (widely used in the automotive industry) and “cut-to-length”
plate. The ITC decided in December 2006 that in most of the cases injury to
179 President George W. Bush. Memorandum on “Presidential Determination on Imports of
Circular Welded Non-Alloy Steel Pipe from the People’s Republic of China” (Pres.
Determination no. 2006-7), December 30, 2005.
180 AMM, “The Pressure Is Building in Pipe and Tube” (June 5, 2006 print ed.), pp. 4-5.
181 Ibid., “President Says No to ‘421’ Help vs. China Pipe” (January 2, 2006), p. 1; “China
Sees Rejection of ‘421’ Plea Forging Ties” (January 4, 2006), p. 6; “The Oval Office Bats
182 Sunset reviews of AD/CVD orders are discussed in CRS Report RL32371.
domestic steel producers was not continuing nor foreseeably likely to recur and the
AD/CVD orders were revoked.183
The ITC held hearings on the two sets of products on October 17, 2006 (for
corrosion-resistant steel) and on October 19, 2006 (for steel plate). Top executive
officers of the major steel companies testified that, although the industry had
recovered significantly in terms of profitability, much of the price increase recorded
since the termination of broad safeguards in 2003 was driven by higher costs of
inputs, as this CRS report has detailed above. They averred that elimination of the
remedy duties could lead to a flood of imports in the future, particularly if the
Chinese market’s growth slowed and subject countries redirected product to the U.S.
market. USWA President Leo Gerard argued in addition that current high steel
prices were needed to support contributions negotiated by the union to health care
for retirees by successor companies to steel mills that had gone bankrupt. Members
of Congress also testified at both hearings, mostly in favor of retaining the remedy
Representatives of the six largest companies producing motor vehicles in the
United States countered the steel companies’ testimony. The companies testifying
were the so-called “Detroit Three,” (General Motors, Ford and DaimlerChrysler) and
the three leading Japanese-owned producers (Toyota, Honda and Nissan). They
argued that, after up to 15 years, it was time to sunset these remedy tariffs, especially
in view of the current profitability of the steel industry.
In its determination, the ITC in a 4-2 vote generally agreed with the automotive
companies. The majority maintained in part that in a “just-in-time” motor vehicle
manufacturing environment, long steel supply lines were a questionable economic
practice, and, therefore, a threat of massive imports was unlikely to recur. In the
Canadian case, the majority felt that given the high level of integration within the
auto industry on both sides of the border and the existence of long-term supply
contracts, a big increase in imports from that source was also unlikely. In all but two
cases, the tariffs were lifted. However, the majority kept the remedy duties in place
on imports from Korea and Germany, because the major companies in question,
Posco (Korea) and ThyssenKrupp (Germany) maintained no U.S. domestic
steelmaking operations, had continued to import, and would be likely to increase
imports substantially, if duties were lifted. The two commissioners who voted to
retain the remedy duties said that all subject imports should be cumulated. They felt,
therefore, that revoking duties on some corrosion-resistant steel imports would
encourage shifts in the world market and a general rise in U.S. imports of the subject
products, to the detriment of domestic producers.
There was no such split on the ITC regarding cut-to-length plate imports. By
a unanimous vote, the ITC revoked these tariffs. In view of the continuing high
prices of steel plate, the ITC did not accept the producers’ argument that a new
increase in plate imports was foreseeably likely. The ITC did not believe that in
either case elimination of the tariffs would undermine domestic industry pricing.
183 Revocation in accordance with U.S.C. 19 § 1675(d)(2).
Table 2, as published in American Metal Market, indicates the level of penalty tariffs
that were removed by the ITC’s decisions of December 2006.184
ITC Broadly Upholds Steel AD/CVD Tariffs in 2007
The ITC made a number of other important sunset case decisions in 2007. In
their first decision, they revoked duties on major energy industry products. But in
other cases, they generally upheld existing AD/CVD orders.
!Oil country tubular goods (OCTG) from Argentina, Italy,
Japan, Korea and Mexico. OCTG products are used in drilling
operations by the oil and gas industry. Similar to corrosion-resistant
steel, this case saw domestic steel producers confront the larger
energy industry and foreign steel suppliers. On May 31, 2007, the
ITC revoked all subject duties by a 4-2 vote.185 According to a
press report, “... Attorneys for foreign [steel producers] pointed to
the profitability of the U.S. steel industry as proof that it no longer
deserved government protection.” The duties removed ranged from
less than 2% on products from Mexico, Italy, and South Korea, to
44% on products from Japan, and more than 60% on those from
!Reinforcing Bar from Belarus, China, Indonesia, Latvia,
Moldova, Poland, South Korea and Ukraine. This is generally a
lower-cost product widely used in the construction industry, with the
respondents mainly countries from eastern Europe, but notably
including China. The ITC decided on July 10, 2007, that, owing
to a continued threat of injury to U.S. domestic producers, the
184 USITC. Certain Carbon Steel Products from Australia, Belgium, ... et al., Vol. 1:
Determination and Views of the Commission (Publ. 3899, January 2007). Pp. 3-13
summarize the Commissioners’ votes and decisions. For reactions to the decision, see “Six
largest Automotive Companies Applaud U.S. International Trade Commission Decision to
Revoke Steel Duties on Four Countries,” (press release jointly released, December 14,
2006); USWA. “USW Decries Trade Commission Decision Revoking Orders on Unfairly
Traded Steel Imports” (press release, December 14, 2006); Detroit News, “Carmakers Win
Trade Battle” (December 15, 2006); Automotive News, “Suppliers Laud Removal of Steel
Tariffs” (December 25, 2006), p. 37; and, AMM, “US Steel’s Loss at the ITC a Sign of
Things to Come?” (December 18, 2006 print ed.). A German group indicated that it might
appeal the ITC decision maintaining the tariffs on subject German imports before the U.S.
Court of International Trade; AMM, “Germans to Challenge ITC Ruling on Imports”
(December 22, 2006).
185 USITC. “ITC Makes Determinations in Five-Year (Sunset) Reviews Concerning Oil
Country Tubular Goods from Argentina, Italy, Japan, Korea and Mexico,” news release 07-
059 (May 31, 2007). Four commissioners voted to revoke all the AD orders. A fifth voted
to retain duties on products from Japan and Korea, while agreeing with his colleagues to
revoke the other orders.
186 AMM, “Double Whammy for OCTG as Duties Nixed, Prices Dip: Vote by ITC Revokes
Margins vs. 5 Nations” (June 1, 2007), pp. 1 and 6.
duties should be maintained, except in the case of Korea. The
ITC vote varied for different countries. It was unanimous on
keeping duties, now 132%, for imports of Chinese rebar, and 60%
to 70% on imports from Indonesia. The voting in other cases was
mixed, and the ITC was evenly split on Latvia and Poland, meaning
that the duties stay. The vote on Korea was 4-2 against a finding of187
!Welded Large Diameter Line Pipe from Japan and Mexico.
Large diameter line pipe is important in view of recent concerns
regarding natural gas supply and prices, especially because of
congressional actions to enhance transportation of natural gas from
Alaska to the lower 48 states.188 On October 2, 2007, the ITC
voted 4-2 to maintain the existing AD order on line pipe imports
from Japan, and by 5-1 to end the duties on imports from
Mexico. An attorney for petitioners viewed the result as positive, as
Japan is a much larger producer, and the AD penalty tariff is 108%
on its three largest respondents. The Mexican duty was much less,
!Hot-Rolled Carbon Steel Flat Products from Argentina, China,
India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Netherlands, Romania, South
Africa, Taiwan, Thailand and Ukraine. This was the broadest
range of products under review. Hot-rolled steel is the first stage of
finished steel that is used to make a wide range of downstream steel
products and the orders in place covered products from ten
countries. On October 10, 2007, the ITC issued a mixed decision.
It maintained existing orders in place on China, India,
Indonesia, Taiwan, Thailand and Ukraine. Orders on the
remaining countries (Argentina, Kazakhstan, Romania and
South Africa) were revoked.190
187 USITC. “ITC Makes Determinations in Five-Year (Sunset) Reviews Concerning Steel
Concrete Reinforcing Bar from Belarus, China, Indonesia, Korea, Latvia, Moldova, Poland,
and Ukraine,” news release 07-070 (July 10, 2007); AMM, “ITC Upholds Rebar Import
Duties on Seven Countries” (July 11, 2007).
188 The Alaska project is discussed in detail in CRS Report RL33716, Alaska Natural Gas
Pipelines: Interaction of the Natural Gas and Steel Markets, by Robert Pirog and Stephen
189 USITC. “ITC Makes Determinations in Five-Year (Sunset) Reviews Concerning Welded
Large Diameter Pipe from Japan and Mexico,” news release 07-101 (October 2, 2007);
AMM, “ITC Sticks with Weld Line Pipe Duty vs. Japan” (October 3, 2007).
190 USITC. “ITC Makes Determinations in Five-Year (Sunset) Reviews Concerning Hot-
Rolled Steel Products from Argentina, China [...]” news release 07-106 (October 10, 2007).
WTO Decision on “Zeroing” and
Proposed U.S. Trade Law Changes
On April 18, 2006, the WTO Appellate Body ruled that the “zeroing”
methodology used by the Commerce Department in calculating dumping margins in
many steel cases violates WTO rules. “Zeroing” is a mathematical technique applied
to imported products being investigated in original AD cases, annual administrative
reviews, and five-year sunset cases. In calculating AD duties, which by WTO rules
must be no more than the actual dumping margin, U.S. practice has been to ignore
sales where no dumping is found (i.e., to apply a zero margin). The Appellate Body
found that this results in a higher applied duty, because no credit is given for subject
imports priced above fair market value in a comparison of like products. The
Appellate Body’s interpretation was that the WTO antidumping agreement requires
that full weight must be given to “negative dumping margins.” The April 2006
decision, in a case brought against the United States by the EU, applied this principle
for the first time to administrative reviews and found that zeroing is not allowed in
original AD investigations, either.191 Subsequently, in January 2007, in a case
brought by Japan, also involving steel products, the Appellate Body found even more
broadly against the use of zeroing in AD proceedings.192
U.S. courts have ruled that zeroing is allowed but not required by U.S.
antidumping law. In a letter submitted by U.S. Steel on a proposal by Commerce to
alter margin calculations in response to WTO rulings, the company’s legal
representatives argued that additional provisions of U.S. statutory law other than
those considered by the courts effectively require the application of zeroing without
applying offsets for non-dumped products. As demonstrated in the letter, elimination
of zeroing would generally and systematically reduce AD margins.193 But the
Commerce Department felt that it had to end zeroing in certain types of calculations,
to comply with the WTO ruling. It also requested comments on proposed alternative
methods. The EU considers some aspects of U.S. policy still not in compliance. It
has brought a new case in the WTO regarding additional annual administrative and194
sunset reviews involving steel products. In response, Deputy USTR Peter Allgeier
reportedly stated, with respect to consideration of AD rules at a meeting of the WTO
Doha Development Round that the U.S. government “cannot envisage an outcome
to the negotiations without addressing zeroing.”195
191 Inside US Trade, “Appellate Body Rules Against Zeroing in Administrative Reviews”
(April 21, 2006). For the EU reaction see European Commission, “EU Welcomes WTO
Ruling on US Anti-Dumping Violations,” press release (April 18, 2006).
192 DER, “U.S. Zeroing Methodology Hit Again by WTO Appellate Body” (January10,
193 Letter of John J. Mangan et al. on behalf of U.S. Steel Corp. to Assistant Secretary of
Commerce David Spooner (April 5, 2006).
194 The WTO cases and the U.S. response are analyzed in CRS Report RL32014, WTO
Dispute Settlement: Status of U.S. Compliance in Pending Cases, by Jeanne J. Grimmett.
See esp. the discussion relating to WTO cases DS294,DS322, and DS 350.
195 As reported in DER, “U.S. Sets WTO Approval of ‘Zeroing’ as Condition of Agreement
Some Members of Congress have indicated dissatisfaction with the impact of
evolving pattern of WTO discipline on U.S. trade law, including zeroing.196 Senator
Rockefeller, in Title I of S. 364, discussed above, would require congressional
approval of “all measures taken by the U.S. government to comply with adverse
[WTO] decisions.” He added, “This provision of my trade bill would prevent the
Administration from side-stepping Congress in determining how to respond to an
adverse decision in the WTO.”197 In S. 1919, Senator Baucus did not go as far,
requiring only a deferral of any changes in regulations until after Congress had
received a report from a commission that his legislation would establish (Sec. 206).198
to Doha Deal” (July 12, 2007), p. A-2.
196 See Inside US Trade, “Democratic Power Play Yields 2nd Zeroing Delay” (January 25,
197 Congressional Record (January 23, 2007), S915.
198 Ibid. (August 1, 2007), S10610.